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Latvia · Virsliga · Mon 19 Oct · 16:00
11th · 3 pts · +2 GD
2:0
Full time
9th · 24 pts · -21 GD
83%
RFS
11%
Draw
6%
Tukums
Bookmakers say
odds not in yet
Where we differ most
-
Our pick
Home win · we say 83%
We rate Home win the most likely outcome on our numbers at 83%.
Both teams to score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
74%
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| RFS | 1448 | 0.89 | 0.20 |
| Tukums | 1316 | 0.95 | 1.77 |
RFS rated 132 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProRFS 2-0 Tukums. Our model leaned RFS to win (83%) and called it right.
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 73%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | - | - | - | - |
| pundit |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 78% |
“Rīgas FS dominates with 82.7% home win probability, superior Elo (1637 vs 1316), and excellent recent form (4 wins in last 6).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Over | 75% |
“The model gives Rīgas FS an 82.7% chance of winning, supported by their top-table position and strong recent form including a 4-0 win, while Tukums has a weak defence rating of 1.757 and poor away results.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 85% |
“Rīgas FS has a very high probability of winning at 82.68% according to our model.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | Yes | Over | 85% |
“Rīgas FS have an 82.7% model probability to win and sit 1st with 80 points, facing 9th placed Tukums.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 90% |
“Model gives Rīgas FS an 82.68% chance to win and the 1X double chance is 93.86%, so 1X is the clearest play.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | Yes | Over | 78% |
“Model gives home win 0.8268 with Rīgas FS elo 1637 vs Tukums 1316, top vs 9th and dominant recent form (4-0, 4-2).” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | Yes | Over | 92% |
“Model gives Rīgas FS an 82.7% win probability, with the home side ranked 1st (80 pts, +55 GD) against 9th-placed Tukums (24 pts, -19 GD).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 83% |
“Rīgas FS is league leader (pos 1) with a dominant model win probability of 0.8268 against 9th place Tukums.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | No | Over | 85% |
“Rīgas FS has 82.68% model probability for home win and strong form (4 wins in last 6).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Over | 85% |
“The model gives Rīgas FS a 82.68% chance of winning, supported by their dominant form (4 wins in last 6) and superior rating (Elo 1637 vs 1315).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.