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Estonia · Esiliiga A · Mon 19 Oct · 15:00
11th · 0 pts · -3 GD
1:2
Full time
4th · 3 pts · +1 GD
41%
Tallinna Kalev
27%
Draw
32%
Levadia U21 Tallinn
Bookmakers say
odds not in yet
Where we differ most
-
Our pick
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 68%
Early estimate. This competition has thin history in our data and no bookmaker line yet, so these numbers come from a ratings model alone. Treat them as a lean, not a call. They sharpen once odds arrive.
Home win is our most likely single outcome at 41%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the home side or the draw at 68%.
Both teams to score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tallinna Kalev | 1428 | - | - |
| Levadia U21 Tallinn | 1452 | - | - |
Levadia U21 Tallinn rated 23 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProTallinna Kalev 1-2 Levadia U21 Tallinn.
Consensus
1X2
Away 70%
BTTS
No 90%
O/U 2.5
Under 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | - | - | - | - |
| oddsBookmakers | - | - | - | - |
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| No |
| Under |
| 42% |
“Tallinna Kalev has a slight ELO advantage (1428.2 vs 1448.2 is marginal) but plays at home where they lost last time.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | No | Under | 60% |
“Away side Levadia II has a higher Elo rating (1448 vs 1428), better table position (3rd vs 8th), and won their last match while Kalev lost at home, suggesting a slight away edge.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | No | Under | 65% |
“FCI Levadia II has a higher Elo rating of 1448.2 compared to Tallinna Kalev's 1428.2, and they also have a better league position (3rd with 3 points vs.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Away | No | Under | 35% |
“Levadia II hold a slight Elo advantage (1448.2 vs 1428.2) and sit 3rd with a win, whereas Kalev are 8th with a loss.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | Yes | Under | 60% |
“FCI Levadia II has the higher Elo (1448.2 vs 1428.2) and sits 3rd with 3 pts vs Tallinna Kalev 8th with 0 pts, plus Levadia II won their last match while Kalev lost (1-0 vs 1-2).” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Away | No | Under | 38% |
“Away side holds higher elo (1448.2 vs 1428.2) and sits 3rd with 3 pts after a 1-0 win while home is 8th with 0 pts after a 1-2 loss.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Away | No | Under | 52% |
“Levadia II won 1-0 away while Tallinna Kalev lost 1-2 at home; Levadia II has 20-point Elo advantage (1448.2 vs 1428.2) and sits 3rd vs 8th after matchday 1.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | No | Under | 55% |
“FCI Levadia II holds a higher Elo rating (1448.2 vs 1428.2) and a better table position (3rd vs 8th).” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Tallinna Kalev have higher elo (1428.2 vs 1448.2) but Levadia II are 3rd with 3pts vs Kalev's 0pts; home advantage and recent form (Levadia II won last match) suggest a close game but Kalev's home edge tips it.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 55% |
“Tallinna Kalev has a slight edge in form and home advantage, with a recent loss compared to Levadia II's win.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.