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World · UEFA Nations League · Tue 17 Nov · 19:45
40th · 3 pts · -3 GD
VS
Kick-off
3rd · 12 pts · +5 GD
19%
Wales
45%
Draw
36%
Portugal
Bookmakers say
odds not in yet
Where we differ most
-
Safest read
Draw or away win (X2) · we say 81%
Our safest read is Draw or away win (X2) at 81%, though there is no bookmaker price on it yet.
Both teams to score
43%
Over 2.5 goals
29%
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wales | 1416 | 0.23 | 0.83 |
| Portugal | 1484 | 1.42 | 0.87 |
Portugal rated 68 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
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