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World · UEFA Nations League · Tue 17 Nov · 19:45
31st · 4 pts · +3 GD
VS
Kick-off
6th · 10 pts · +4 GD
30%
Poland
43%
Draw
26%
Sweden
Bookmakers say
odds not in yet
Where we differ most
-
Safest read
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 74%
Our safest read is Home win or draw (1X) at 74%, though there is no bookmaker price on it yet.
Both teams to score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
35%
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Poland | 1440 | 1.61 | 0.89 |
| Sweden | 1472 | 1.09 | 0.51 |
Sweden rated 32 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
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