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Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun 11 Oct · 10:15
3:1
Full time
72%
Utrecht
17%
Draw
11%
Willem II
Bookmakers say
64% / 20% / 16%
Where we differ most
H +8%
Our pick
Home win at 1.48 · we say 72%
We rate Home win the most likely outcome at 72%, 8% above the bookmakers' price.
Both teams to score
53%
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProUtrecht 3-1 Willem II. Our model leaned Utrecht to win (72%) and called it right. Picks: Utrecht to win won (+4.8u), Utrecht to win won (+4.8u), Utrecht to win won (+4.8u), Utrecht to win won (+4.8u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 72% |
“Utrecht's model probability of 72.03% for home win significantly outweighs Willem II's 10.95%, supported by Utrecht's superior Elo rating (1322 vs 1211) and attack rating (1.103 vs 0.588).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Our model gives Utrecht a 72% win probability with a positive edge over the market, and they face a Willem II side with poor form and a low defensive rating of 2.22.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Utrecht has a 72.03% chance of winning according to our model, significantly higher than the market's 65.27%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini | Home | Yes | Over | 85% |
“The model gives Utrecht a 72.03% chance to win (1X double-chance is 92.99%), with BTTS Y at 53.15% and Over 2.5 at 68.45%.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The model gives Utrecht a 72.03% chance of winning (H: 0.7203), and Over 2.5 goals has a 68.45% probability (O: 0.6845).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B | Home | Yes | Over | 85% |
“Our model gives Utrecht a 72.03% chance to win, with a positive edge of +0.0676 over the market.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.