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Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · Sun 11 Oct · 11:30
0:1
Full time
34%
Standard
27%
Draw
38%
Charleroi
Bookmakers say
34% / 27% / 39%
Where we differ most
D 0%
Our pick
Draw or away win (X2) · we say 63%
Away win is our most likely single outcome at 38%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the draw or the away side at 63%. There is also a value angle on Home win at 2.85. A generous price, not a confident pick.
Both teams to score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Consensus
1X2
Away 88%
BTTS
No 86%
O/U 2.5
Under 88%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | No | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProStandard 0-1 Charleroi. Our model leaned Charleroi to win (38%) and called it right. Picks: Standard to win lost (-10.0u), U won (+9.6u), U won (+9.6u), Charleroi to win won (+12.8u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Under |
| 58% |
“Standard has a 2.1% edge in the 1X2 market (model 34.4% vs market 32.3%) and benefits from home advantage despite recent poor form.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 | Away | No | Under | -5% |
“The model gives Charleroi a 41.1% win probability (highest) and a slight edge for Under 2.5 goals (51.5% vs market 47.0%), while BTTS is nearly a coin flip (49.3% Yes).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash | Away | No | Under | 65% |
“The model predicts Under 2.5 goals with a 51.45% probability, and there is a significant edge of 4.47% over the market odds.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini | Away | No | Under | 72% |
“The model favours Charleroi (A) 38.19% vs Standard (H) 34.40% (market A 41.09%), so pick A in 1X2.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick | Away | No | Under | 45% |
“Charleroi is in superior form with 5 wins in 6 games and a higher Elo rating (1381.0 vs 1350.1).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B | Away | No | Under | 68% |
“Our model shows a 0.0447 edge on under 2.5 goals (51.45% chance) versus the market, supported by Standard's strong defence (defence rating 1.074) and recent low-scoring games.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.