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England · Championship · Wed 14 Oct · 18:45
3:2
Full time
38%
Portsmouth
28%
Draw
34%
Sheffield United
Bookmakers say
43% / 27% / 30%
Where we differ most
A +4%
Our pick
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 66%
Home win is our most likely single outcome at 38%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the home side or the draw at 66%.
Both teams to score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Consensus
1X2
Home 64%
BTTS
Yes 90%
O/U 2.5
Under 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Under | - |
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProPortsmouth 3-2 Sheffield United. Our model leaned Portsmouth to win (38%) and called it right. Picks: A:-0.25 lost (-10.0u), Portsmouth to win won (+12.4u), Sheffield United to win lost (-10.0u), Sheffield United to win lost (-10.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Under |
| 52% |
“Portsmouth has a +3.8% edge in the 1X2 market (model 38.24% vs market 42.53%), supported by their superior Elo rating (1302.7 vs 1252.5) and better recent form (3-0 win).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 | Away | Yes | Under | 55% |
“The model gives Sheffield United a 33.7% chance to win, which is a 3.4% edge over the market, and their higher Elo rating (1302.7 vs 1252.5) and better recent form support this.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash | Away | Yes | Under | 65% |
“Sheffield United has a 3.41% edge over the market for an away win, with our model predicting a 33.65% chance compared to the market's 30.24%.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 | Away | Yes | Under | 45% |
“The model gives Sheffield United a 33.7% chance to win, creating a 3.4% edge over the market.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini | Home | Yes | Under | 65% |
“The model gives Portsmouth a 38.24% win chance vs Sheffield Utd 33.65% and draw 28.10%, BTTS Yes 54.54% and Under 2.5 is marginally favoured (U 50.9%).” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast | Away | Yes | Under | 38% |
“Model gives away 33.7% with +3.4% edge versus market, backed by superior Elo (1302 vs 1252), table (14th vs 20th) and Portsmouth's poor form (1W in 6).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick | Home | Yes | Under | 60% |
“The model gives Portsmouth a 38.24% chance of winning (home probability), with Sheffield United at 33.65% (away probability); Portsmouth are slightly favoured.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 | Home | Yes | Under | 65% |
“Model gives Portsmouth 38.24% home win chance vs market 42.53%, but edge is negative; Sheffield United's defence (1.313) is strong but attack (1.06) weaker than Portsmouth's home form.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B | Home | No | Under | 52% |
“The model gives a 54.54% chance that both teams will score, but the defensive ratings (Portsmouth 1.347, Sheffield United 1.313) and low over 2.5 goals probability (49.1%) suggest a tight game.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.