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Turkey · 1. Lig · Thu 15 Oct · 14:00
1:0
Full time
46%
Mardin 1969
26%
Draw
28%
Fatih Karagümrük
Bookmakers say
48% / 27% / 25%
Where we differ most
A +2%
Our pick
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 72%
Early estimate. This competition has thin history in our data and no bookmaker line yet, so these numbers come from a ratings model alone. Treat them as a lean, not a call. They sharpen once odds arrive.
Home win is our most likely single outcome at 46%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the home side or the draw at 72%.
Both teams to score
52%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProConsensus
1X2
Home 82%
BTTS
Yes 82%
O/U 2.5
Over 73%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | - | - | - | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | Yes | Under | - |
| pundit |
| Draw |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 42% |
“Both teams showed attacking intent in recent form (Fatih drew 1-1, Mardin won 2-1), suggesting both are likely to score.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 | Home | Yes | Over | 55% |
“Mardin 1969 is in better form with a recent away win and sits 6th with 3 points, while Fatih Karagümrük drew at home and is 8th with 1 point, giving the home side a slight edge.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash | Away | Yes | Over | 50% |
“With no probability or rating data, it's difficult to make a strong prediction.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 | Home | Yes | Over | 30% |
“Mardin 1969 ranks higher (6th, 3 pts) and just won, while Fatih Karagümrük is 8th with 1 point.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini | Home | Yes | Over | 60% |
“Mardin 1969 sit 6th with 3 pts vs Fatih Karagümrük 8th with 1 pt and Mardin won their last game 2-1 (3 goals).” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast | Home | Yes | Over | 32% |
“Mardin 1969 lead the early table (6th, 3pts, +1 GD) after a 2-1 away win while Karagümrük are 8th on 1pt after a 1-1; with only one game each and no model probs/ratings, home side plus both teams scoring in those matches is the thin edge for 1X and BTTS Y.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 | Home | Yes | Over | 45% |
“Mardin 1969 won their opener 2-1 away while Fatih Karagümrük drew 1-1 at home, giving the home side early momentum and 3 points vs 1.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick | Home | No | Under | 60% |
“Home team has a slight edge in table position (6th vs 8th) and recent form (win vs draw), with 1908 having a better points tally in the last match (3 pts vs 1 pt).” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 | Home | Yes | Over | 60% |
“Mardin 1969 has better form (W vs D) and higher table position (6th vs 8th).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B | Home | No | Under | 60% |
“Mardin 1969 won their opening match with a positive goal difference, while Fatih Karagümrük drew with a neutral result; early table positions suggest slight home advantage.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.