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Armenia · First League · Mon 19 Oct · 11:30
8th · 1 pts · -2 GD
3:3
Full time
7th · 1 pts
39%
Ararat-Armenia II
27%
Draw
34%
Ararat Yerevan-2
Bookmakers say
odds not in yet
Where we differ most
-
Our pick
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 66%
Early estimate. This competition has thin history in our data and no bookmaker line yet, so these numbers come from a ratings model alone. Treat them as a lean, not a call. They sharpen once odds arrive.
Home win is our most likely single outcome at 39%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the home side or the draw at 66%.
Both teams to score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat-Armenia II | 1428 | - | - |
| Ararat Yerevan-2 | 1442 | - | - |
Ararat Yerevan-2 rated 14 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProArarat-Armenia II 3-3 Ararat Yerevan-2.
Consensus
1X2
Away 100%
BTTS
Yes 90%
O/U 2.5
Over 90%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | - | - | - | - |
| oddsBookmakers | - | - | - | - |
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 58% |
“Ararat II shows stronger form (5-1 win vs 1-3 loss) and higher Elo rating (1458.3 vs 1427.8), plus leads the table after one match.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Away side Ararat II has a higher Elo rating (1458 vs 1428), is top of the table, and just won 5-1, while the home side lost 1-3, favoring an away win.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | No | Under | 60% |
“Ararat II has a higher global ELO rating of 1458.3 compared to Ararat-Armenia II's 1427.8.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Ararat II boast higher ELO (1458.3 vs 1427.8), better form (5-1 W vs 1-3 L), and top table position versus the home side's 9th place.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Ararat II are stronger on Elo (1458.3 vs 1427.8, +30.5) and top the table (pos 1, 3 pts) vs Ararat-Armenia II (pos 9, 0 pts) with recent form W 5-1 vs L 1-3; recent scores (5-1 and 1-3) also support BTTS=Y and OU2.5=O.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Away | Yes | Over | 42% |
“Away leads elo 1458.3 vs 1427.8, sits 1st with +4 GD after a 5-1 win while home is 9th on 0 pts after a 1-3 loss.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Away | Yes | Over | 62% |
“Ararat II (away) has superior ELO rating (1458.3 vs 1427.8), sits top of table with +4 GD after a 5-1 win, while Ararat-Armenia II lost 1-3 at home and are 9th with 0 points.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Ararat II enters as league leaders with a 5-1 win and a higher Elo rating (1458.3 vs 1427.8).” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Ararat II has better elo (1458.3 vs 1427.8) and leads the table with 3 points.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Ararat II has strong recent form (5-1 win) and a better table position (1st vs 9th), suggesting attacking momentum.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.