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Kenya · FKF Premier League · Sat 17 Oct · 13:15
VS
Kick-off
43%
APS Bomet
26%
Draw
31%
GOR Mahia
Bookmakers say
odds not in yet
Where we differ most
-
Our pick
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 69%
Early estimate. This competition has thin history in our data and no bookmaker line yet, so these numbers come from a ratings model alone. Treat them as a lean, not a call. They sharpen once odds arrive.
Home win is our most likely single outcome at 43%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the home side or the draw at 69%.
Both teams to score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
No recent meetings on record.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProConsensus
1X2
Away 70%
BTTS
Yes 80%
O/U 2.5
Over 80%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | - | - | - | - |
| oddsBookmakers | - | - | - | - |
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 58% |
“GOR Mahia shows stronger form (recent 4-2 win vs Bomet's 0-0 draw) and marginally higher Elo rating (1452.2 vs 1441.8), though the gap is minimal.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“GOR Mahia has a higher Elo rating (1452 vs 1442) and won 4-2 in their last match, while APS Bomet drew 0-0, suggesting an away win is the most likely outcome.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash | Away | No | Under | 65% |
“GOR Mahia has a slightly higher global ELO rating of 1452.2 compared to APS Bomet's 1441.8.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 | Away | No | Under | 52% |
“GOR Mahia holds a slight Elo advantage (1452.2 vs 1441.8) and better recent form (W 4-2 vs D 0-0).” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini | Away | Yes | Over | 55% |
“GOR Mahia are slightly stronger on ELO (1452.2 vs 1441.8) and sit higher in the table (pos 2, 3 pts vs pos 6, 1 pt).” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast | Away | Yes | Over | 38% |
“GOR Mahia hold a slight ELO edge (1452.2 vs 1441.8) and sit 2nd with 3 pts after a 4-2 win, while APS Bomet are 6th on 1 pt after a 0-0; the small gap and early-season sample keep confidence low so X2 is safest.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 | Away | Yes | Over | 52% |
“GOR Mahia (elo 1452.2) are slightly stronger than APS Bomet (elo 1441.8) and just won 4-2 away, showing attacking form.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick | Home | Yes | Over | 60% |
“Both teams have recent high-scoring activity (GOR Mahia won 4-2) and APS Bomet's last match was a 0-0 draw, but their Elo ratings are close (1452.2 vs 1441.8), suggesting a competitive match with potential for goals.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“GOR Mahia (1452.2 elo) are higher rated and won their last match 4-2, while APS Bomet (1441.8 elo) drew 0-0.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B | Home | Yes | Over | 55% |
“APS Bomet has a slight edge in form with a draw in their last game, while GOR Mahia won but face a slightly stronger opponent.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.