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World · UEFA Champions League · Wed 14 Oct · 19:00
3:1
Full time
17%
Shakhtar Donetsk
24%
Draw
59%
AEK
Bookmakers say
odds not in yet
Where we differ most
-
Our pick
Away win · we say 59%
Early estimate. This competition has thin history in our data and no bookmaker line yet, so these numbers come from a ratings model alone. Treat them as a lean, not a call. They sharpen once odds arrive.
We rate Away win the most likely outcome on our numbers at 59%.
Both teams to score
43%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProShakhtar Donetsk 3-1 AEK.
Consensus
1X2
Home 67%
BTTS
Yes 56%
O/U 2.5
Under 56%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | - | - | - | - |
| oddsBookmakers | - | - | - | - |
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 62% |
“AEK shows superior form (4W-2D in last 6) and a 90-point Elo advantage (1530 vs 1440), while Shakhtar has played only once in Champions League this season with a draw.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Shakhtar Donetsk has a significant Elo rating advantage (1440.0 vs 1530.1) and AEK's recent form shows defensive solidity, with 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches, suggesting a low-scoring home win.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Shakhtar Donetsk has a significantly higher ELO rating of 1440.0 compared to AEK's 1530.1, indicating a stronger team.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 | Away | Yes | Under | 65% |
“AEK holds a 90-point Elo advantage (1530.1 vs 1440.0) and is in superb 4W-2D form, while Shakhtar has only a 1-1 draw.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini | Away | Yes | Over | 60% |
“AEK are stronger on ratings (ELO 1530.1 vs Shakhtar 1440.0) and have superior recent form (AEK 4W-2D, scoring in all 6 listed matches) while Shakhtar's only recent game was a 1-1 draw; the table also shows AEK with 3 pts vs Shakhtar 1.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast | Away | Yes | Over | 38% |
“AEK holds a clear ELO edge (1530 vs 1440) plus superior table position and recent form of four wins in six with high scoring.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick | Home | No | Under | 60% |
“Shakhtar Donetsk has a higher Elo rating (1440.0) than AEK (1530.1 is actually higher, indicating AEK is stronger, but Shakhtar is home); however, AEK has a better recent form and table position is not decisive here.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Shakhtar's home advantage and AEK's weaker Elo (1440 vs 1530) favor home win.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Shakhtar Donetsk are strong favorites with our model giving them a 58% chance to win, backed by superior form including a recent UCL win.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.