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Iran · Azadegan League · Mon 19 Oct · 15:00
17th · 0 pts · -4 GD
2:3
Full time
7th · 3 pts · +1 GD
40%
Shahin Bandar Ameri
27%
Draw
33%
Kara Gostar
Bookmakers say
odds not in yet
Where we differ most
-
Our pick
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 67%
Early estimate. This competition has thin history in our data and no bookmaker line yet, so these numbers come from a ratings model alone. Treat them as a lean, not a call. They sharpen once odds arrive.
Home win is our most likely single outcome at 40%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the home side or the draw at 67%.
Both teams to score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shahin Bandar Ameri | 1424 | - | - |
| Kara Gostar | 1451 | - | - |
Kara Gostar rated 28 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProShahin Bandar Ameri 2-3 Kara Gostar.
Consensus
1X2
Away 100%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | - | - | - | - |
| oddsBookmakers | - | - | - | - |
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| No |
| Under |
| 58% |
“Mes Soongoun has superior Elo rating (1448.2 vs 1423.7) and won their opener 1-0, while Shahin Bandar Ameri lost 0-3 and sits 16th with 0 points.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | No | Under | 60% |
“Away team Mes Soongoun has a higher Elo rating (1448 vs 1424) and better table position (3rd vs 16th), supporting the away pick.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | No | Under | 65% |
“Mes Soongoun has a higher Elo rating (1448.2) compared to Shahin Bandar Ameri (1423.7) and won their last match 1-0, while Shahin Bandar Ameri lost 0-3.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Away | No | Under | 55% |
“Mes Soongoun has a higher Elo (1448.2 vs 1423.7) and sits 3rd with 3 points, while Shahin is 16th with 0 points and a -3 GD.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | No | Under | 60% |
“Mes Soongoun have the edge (Elo 1448.2 vs Shahin 1423.7, Δ24.5) and sit on 3 pts vs Shahin's 0 with away form W vs home L.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Away | No | Under | 42% |
“Mes Soongoun hold the edge via higher elo (1448 vs 1423), 3rd place with 3 pts and +1 GD versus Shahin’s 16th with 0 pts and -3 GD after a 0-3 loss.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Away | No | Under | 55% |
“Mes Soongoun won 1-0 at home while Shahin lost 0-3 away, giving them 3 pts vs 0 pts and +1 GD vs -3 GD.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | No | Under | 65% |
“Mes Soongoun holds a higher Elo rating (1448.2 vs 1423.7) and is currently 3rd in the table.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Away | No | Under | 65% |
“Mes Soongoun has higher elo (1448.2 vs 1423.7) and better table position (3rd vs 16th).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | No | Under | 65% |
“Mes Soongoun has higher ELO (1448.2 vs 1423.7) and better table position (3rd vs 16th) with positive goal difference.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.