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England · Premier League · Sat 24 Oct · 11:30
12th · 8 pts · -4 GD
VS
Kick-off
1st · 21 pts · +12 GD
24%
Aston Villa
27%
Draw
49%
Manchester City
Bookmakers say
odds not in yet
Where we differ most
-
Our pick
Draw or away win (X2) · we say 76%
Away win is our most likely single outcome at 49%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the draw or the away side at 76%.
Both teams to score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 1521 | 1.06 | 1.26 |
| Manchester City | 1660 | 1.53 | 0.81 |
Manchester City rated 139 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
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