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Italy · Serie A · Tue 27 Oct · 17:30
13th · 8 pts · -2 GD
VS
Kick-off
2nd · 19 pts · +10 GD
32%
Sassuolo
27%
Draw
41%
Lazio
Bookmakers say
odds not in yet
Where we differ most
-
Our pick
Draw or away win (X2) · we say 68%
Away win is our most likely single outcome at 41%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the draw or the away side at 68%.
Both teams to score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
42%
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 1430 | 1.09 | 1.25 |
| Lazio | 1513 | 0.97 | 0.91 |
Lazio rated 83 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
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