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Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · Fri 23 Oct · 18:45
19th · 3 pts · -16 GD
VS
Kick-off
14th · 6 pts · -8 GD
35%
Kortrijk
27%
Draw
38%
KV Mechelen
Bookmakers say
36% / 27% / 37%
Where we differ most
A 1%
Our pick
Draw or away win (X2) · we say 65%
Away win is our most likely single outcome at 38%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the draw or the away side at 65%.
Both teams to score
48%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Consensus
1X2
Away 100%
BTTS
No 91%
O/U 2.5
Under 83%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | No | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
No meetings between these clubs in our records. Our history covers recent seasons, so an older cup tie may not appear.
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk | 1345 | 0.17 | 2.08 |
| KV Mechelen | 1449 | 2.47 | 2.39 |
KV Mechelen rated 104 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| Yes |
| Under |
| 62% |
“KV Mechelen (away) has a 44.5% win probability vs Kortrijk's 27.5%, supported by Mechelen's superior Elo rating (1358.4 vs 1344.8) and recent form (1W-2D-3L vs 1W-5L).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | No | Under | 60% |
“The model gives a 57.7% chance for Under 2.5 goals, and both teams have poor attacking ratings (0.9 vs 0.178), suggesting a low-scoring game.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | No | Under | 70% |
“KV Mechelen has a significantly higher win probability at 0.445 compared to Kortrijk's 0.2748.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Away | No | Under | 60% |
“The model gives KV Mechelen a 72.5% chance to avoid defeat (X2).” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | No | Under | 70% |
“The model gives KV Mechelen 44.5% vs Kortrijk 27.48% (draw 28.02%) and rates the X2 double chance at 72.52%, so A/X2 is the strongest cover.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Away | No | Under | 58% |
“Model gives Away 0.445 and X2 0.7252, backed by Mechelen's better elo (1358 vs 1344) and Kortrijk's abysmal attack (0.176) plus 19th-place form (1W in 6).” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Away | No | Under | 62% |
“KV Mechelen has 44.5% win probability vs Kortrijk's 27.5%, and the double chance X2 at 72.5% offers the safest edge.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | No | Under | 65% |
“The model gives KV Mechelen a 44.5% chance of winning away from home, Kortrijk has a weak attack rating of 0.176, and KV Mechelen has a relatively strong defence rating compared to Kortrijk.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Away | No | Under | 65% |
“Mechelen's model win probability is 44.5% vs Kortrijk's 27.5%, and Mechelen's attack (0.9) and defence (1.439) ratings are stronger.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | No | Under | 68% |
“The model gives a 52.33% chance for under 2.5 goals and 52.33% for neither team to score, supported by Kortrijk's poor attack (0.176 DC) and Mechelen's weak scoring form.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.