Loading match...
Bet smarter. Join our free Weekend Tipsletter
Join freeLoading match...
Germany · Bundesliga 1 · Sat 24 Oct · 13:30
5th · 10 pts · +4 GD
VS
Kick-off
8th · 9 pts
56%
Mainz
23%
Draw
22%
Werder Bremen
Bookmakers say
56% / 23% / 21%
Where we differ most
A 0%
Our pick
Home win · we say 56%
We rate Home win the most likely outcome on our numbers at 56%.
Both teams to score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz | 1478 | 0.91 | 1.35 |
| Werder Bremen | 1405 | 0.74 | 1.49 |
Mainz rated 72 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 68% |
“Mainz's model probability of 53.7% home win is substantial, supported by their superior Elo rating (1447 vs 1374) and better recent form (2W-1L vs 2W-2D-1L).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 55% |
“Mainz has a 53.7% model probability to win, a higher Elo rating (1447 vs 1374), and better table position, while BTTS-Yes is favored at 55.2% and Over 2.5 goals at 54.8%.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Our model predicts a home win for Mainz with a 53.72% probability, significantly higher than a draw (23.13%) or an away win (23.15%).” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | Yes | Over | 77% |
“Mainz have a 53.7% home win probability and a 76.8% double chance 1X, supported by their superior ELO (1447 vs 1374).” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“Model gives Mainz a 53.72% win chance vs draw 23.13% and Bremen 23.15%, but the strongest signal is Double Chance 12 at 76.87%; BTTS Y (55.15%) and OU2.5 O (54.80%) are slight but supportive edges.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | Yes | Over | 58% |
“Model gives Mainz a clear 0.5372 home win probability backed by superior Elo (1447 vs 1373) and table position (5th vs 8th).” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | Yes | Over | 62% |
“Mainz has a 53.72% win probability per our model, significantly higher than the 23.15% for a Bremen upset, and Mainz's superior Elo rating (1491 vs 1403) supports this edge.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The model gives Mainz a 53.72% chance of winning at home, with both teams having a relatively high chance of scoring (BTTS: Y = 55.15%).” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Model gives Mainz 53.72% home win chance; their higher ELO (1447.2 vs 1373.6) and better attack rating (0.967 vs 0.802) support this.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 55% |
“The model gives Mainz a 53.7% chance of winning, supported by higher team ratings (Elo 1447 vs 1374) and better form, having won 3 of their last 6 games.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.