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Germany · Bundesliga 1 · Sat 24 Oct · 16:30
2nd · 14 pts · +7 GD
VS
Kick-off
11th · 8 pts · -6 GD
68%
Dortmund
18%
Draw
15%
Ein Frankfurt
Bookmakers say
67% / 18% / 15%
Where we differ most
H 1%
Our pick
Home win at 1.45 · we say 68%
We rate Home win the most likely outcome at 68%, 1% above the bookmakers' price.
Both teams to score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
72%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dortmund | 1626 | 1.26 | 0.80 |
| Ein Frankfurt | 1443 | 1.09 | 1.81 |
Dortmund rated 183 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 78% |
“Dortmund's model probability of 71.39% home win is decisive, supported by their 2nd-place table position (14pts) and superior Elo rating (1607.8 vs 1405.1).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Dortmund has a 71.4% win probability and a strong home rating (attack 1.24), while Frankfurt's defence is poor (rating 1.727).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“Dortmund has a strong home win probability of 0.7139 according to our model, significantly higher than Ein Frankfurt's away win probability of 0.1197.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | Yes | Over | 71% |
“Dortmund have a 71.4% model probability to win and sit 2nd with a +7 GD, while Frankfurt are 11th.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 80% |
“Model gives Dortmund a 71.39% win chance (draw 16.64%, Ein 11.97%), so the match leans strongly to H.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | Yes | Over | 68% |
“Model gives Dortmund a dominant 0.7139 home win probability, backed by superior Elo (1607 vs 1405), attack/defence ratings and 2nd vs 11th table positions.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | Yes | Over | 78% |
“Model gives Dortmund 71.4% win probability vs 11.97% for Frankfurt, supported by Dortmund's 2nd place table standing (14 pts, +7 GD) vs Frankfurt's 11th (8 pts, -6 GD).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“The model gives Dortmund a 71.39% chance of winning at home, with a relatively high probability of both teams scoring (54.2%) and over 2.5 goals (65.02%).” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | Yes | Over | 85% |
“Dortmund's model home win probability is 71.39% with superior attack (1.218) and higher Elo (1607.8).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Our model gives Dortmund a 71.4% chance of winning, supported by superior form and a strong attack rating (1.218) against Frankfurt's weak defence (1.727).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.