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England · Premier League · Sat 24 Oct · 14:00
18th · 6 pts · -8 GD
VS
Kick-off
19th · 5 pts · -3 GD
31%
Coventry
27%
Draw
41%
Fulham
Bookmakers say
31% / 27% / 43%
Where we differ most
H 1%
Our pick
Draw or away win (X2) · we say 69%
Away win is our most likely single outcome at 41%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the draw or the away side at 69%.
Both teams to score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Consensus
1X2
Home 75%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 83%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | No | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
No meetings between these clubs in our records. Our history covers recent seasons, so an older cup tie may not appear.
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry | 1545 | 0.20 | 1.45 |
| Fulham | 1423 | 0.83 | 1.19 |
Coventry rated 122 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Under |
| 52% |
“Coventry has a slight model edge at 36.85% vs Fulham's 31.53%, supported by marginally better Elo (1406.1 vs 1405.4) and home advantage.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Under | 55% |
“The model gives a 59.4% probability for under 2.5 goals, and both teams have poor attack ratings (Coventry 0.748, Fulham 0.871) supporting a low-scoring game.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“The model predicts Under 2.5 goals with a 59.35% probability, which is the highest probability among the main markets.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | No | Under | 55% |
“The model strongly favors Under 2.5 goals at 59.35%, supported by both teams' below-average attack ratings (Fulham 0.871, Coventry 0.748).” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | No | Under | 68% |
“The model gives Coventry a 36.85% win probability vs Fulham 31.53% and draw 31.62%, making double chance 1X the strongest single play at 68.47%.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | No | Under | 42% |
“Model gives Under 2.5 a clear 0.5935 probability versus only 0.4065 for Over, aligning with both sides’ weak attacks (Coventry 0.74–0.75, Fulham 0.83–0.87).” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | No | Under | 52% |
“Model gives Under 2.5 a 59.35% probability (0.5935), the highest confidence edge in any market.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Draw | No | Under | 60% |
“The model gives Under 2.5 goals a 59.35% probability, and both teams have poor recent form and defensive issues, with Coventry's last home win being 4-1, indicating potential for a low-scoring match.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Coventry's home model probability (0.3685) edges Fulham's (0.3153), and their defence (1.577) is stronger.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“The model gives Coventry (H) a 36.85% chance to win, slightly higher than Fulham's 31.53%, and home advantage is factored in.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.