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England · Championship · Sat 24 Oct · 14:00
18th · 12 pts · -10 GD
VS
Kick-off
22nd · 8 pts · -5 GD
33%
Lincoln
27%
Draw
40%
Burnley
Bookmakers say
32% / 27% / 41%
Where we differ most
H 0%
Our pick
Draw or away win (X2) · we say 67%
Away win is our most likely single outcome at 40%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the draw or the away side at 67%.
Both teams to score
53%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Consensus
1X2
Away 75%
BTTS
Yes 82%
O/U 2.5
Under 83%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
No meetings between these clubs in our records. Our history covers recent seasons, so an older cup tie may not appear.
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln | 1539 | 0.57 | 1.08 |
| Burnley | 1304 | 1.09 | 1.59 |
Lincoln rated 235 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| Yes |
| Under |
| 52% |
“Burnley (away) has a slight model edge at 36.66% vs Lincoln's 35.32% home win probability, despite being 22nd in the table.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | Yes | Under | 52% |
“The model gives a slight edge to Under 2.5 goals at 52.1% probability, and Burnley's away win probability of 36.7% is marginally higher than Lincoln's 35.3%, making the away pick the closest call.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | Yes | Under | 55% |
“Burnley has a slightly higher probability of winning at 0.3666 compared to Lincoln's 0.3532, and their attack rating is significantly better at 1.089 versus Lincoln's 0.628.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Away | Yes | Under | 64% |
“The model slightly favors Burnley (A: 0.3666 vs H: 0.3532) and Lincoln's form includes heavy 0-6 and 0-3 defeats.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | Yes | Under | 68% |
“Model favours Burnley narrowly in 1X2 (A 0.3666 vs H 0.3532) but gives a strong 0.7198 probability to double chance 12; BTTS is slightly likely (Y 0.5346) while Over 2.5 is slightly unlikely (O 0.4786, U 0.5214).” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Away | Yes | Under | 38% |
“Model 1X2 edges Away at 0.3666 over Home 0.3532 with X2 DC at 0.6468; OU25 leans Under 0.5214 while BTTS is a slim Yes at 0.5346 amid both sides' poor defence ratings and low table spots.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Away | Yes | Under | 52% |
“Model gives Burnley 36.66% win probability vs Lincoln's 35.32%, with 28.02% draw—making this very tight.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Draw | Yes | Under | 55% |
“The model gives a 52.14% chance of under 2.5 goals, and both teams have relatively weak attack ratings (Lincoln: 0.625, Burnley: 1.085), suggesting a low-scoring match.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Lincoln's home form (2 wins in last 6) and Burnley's poor away record (1 win in last 6) align with model's 35.32% home win probability.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Draw | No | Under | 68% |
“The model gives a 52.14% chance of under 2.5 goals, slightly favoring a low-scoring game.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.