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England · Championship · Sat 24 Oct · 14:00
3rd · 22 pts · +18 GD
VS
Kick-off
4th · 21 pts · +11 GD
56%
West Ham
22%
Draw
22%
Southampton
Bookmakers say
57% / 22% / 21%
Where we differ most
A 1%
Our pick
Home win · we say 56%
We rate Home win the most likely outcome on our numbers at 56%.
Both teams to score
63%
Over 2.5 goals
65%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | 1509 | 1.90 | 1.25 |
| Southampton | 1586 | 1.42 | 1.15 |
Southampton rated 78 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 68% |
“West Ham's model probability of 48.21% for home win is substantial, supported by their superior Elo rating (1531 vs Southampton's 1591.7 is actually favoring Southampton slightly, but West Ham's recent form shows two consecutive wins with a 6-0 demolition).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 62% |
“West Ham has a 48.2% win probability and strong recent form with two big wins, while Southampton's attack rating (1.344) and BTTS probability (63.3%) suggest both teams will score, but the home advantage and higher goal difference (+18 vs +11) favor West Ham.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“West Ham has a 48.21% chance of winning according to our model, which is the highest probability among the 1X2 outcomes.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | Yes | Over | 72% |
“West Ham's 72.2% double chance probability is strongly supported by their elite attack rating (1.892) and 2nd place table position.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 76% |
“Model gives West Ham 48.21% vs Southampton 27.82% (draw 23.97%), and double chance 12 is 76.03% — making DC 12 the strongest single play.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | Yes | Over | 55% |
“Model gives West Ham a clear edge at H 0.4821 with elite attack (1.89) vs Southampton, while DC 12 sits at 0.7603.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | Yes | Over | 62% |
“West Ham's model probability of 0.4821 for a home win exceeds the draw (0.2397) and away win (0.2782), supported by their superior attack rating (1.892 vs 1.344) and 2nd place standing with 22 points.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The model gives West Ham a 48.21% chance of winning at home against Southampton, with both teams having a relatively high chance of scoring (BTTS: 63.27%).” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“West Ham's model home win probability is 48.21% with superior attack (1.892) and table position (2nd).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 78% |
“The model gives West Ham a 48.21% chance to win, significantly higher than Southampton's 27.82%, supported by stronger form and a higher attack rating (1.892 vs 1.344).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.