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England · League One · Sat 24 Oct · 14:00
14th · 14 pts · -2 GD
VS
Kick-off
12th · 14 pts · +3 GD
37%
Burton
27%
Draw
35%
Leyton Orient
Bookmakers say
36% / 28% / 36%
Where we differ most
H 1%
Our pick
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 65%
Home win is our most likely single outcome at 37%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the home side or the draw at 65%.
Both teams to score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | No | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Under | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burton | 1391 | 0.88 | 1.26 |
| Leyton Orient | 1381 | 0.94 | 1.34 |
Burton rated 10 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Under |
| 58% |
“Burton's model probability of 42.02% for home win is modest but the best outcome here; Leyton Orient's recent form is poor (1W-1D-4L) while Burton shows more stability.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Under | 58% |
“The model gives Burton a 42% chance to win, slightly higher than Leyton Orient's 31%, and Under 2.5 goals is favored at 55% probability, making it the clearest signal.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Burton has a 42.02% chance of winning according to our model, compared to Leyton Orient's 31.15%.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | No | Under | 42% |
“The model slightly favors Burton at home (H: 0.4202) and points to a low-scoring game with Under 2.5 goals at 55.16%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“The model favors Burton at 0.4202 over Leyton Orient 0.3115 (draw 0.2683) and double-chance 12 is 0.7317, making no-draw the strongest play.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | No | Under | 48% |
“Model gives Burton a clear home edge at 0.4202 vs 0.3115 away with 1X at 0.6885; OU25 leans Under at 0.5516 and BTTS is a coin-flip 0.5017 N amid both sides' modest attack ratings (~0.86-0.97).” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | No | Under | 52% |
“The model gives Under 2.5 a 55.16% probability versus Over at 44.84%, making it the clearest edge.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“The model gives Under 2.5 goals a 55.16% probability, and Burton to win at 42.02%.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Burton's home model probability is 42.02% vs Orient's 31.15%, and Burton's defence (1.193) is stronger than Orient's attack (0.968).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 52% |
“The model gives a 55.16% chance of under 2.5 goals, supported by both teams' low attacking ratings and recent low-scoring games.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.