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England · League One · Sat 24 Oct · 14:00
19th · 9 pts · -3 GD
VS
Kick-off
7th · 18 pts · +10 GD
34%
Doncaster
26%
Draw
41%
Sheffield Weds
Bookmakers say
35% / 26% / 40%
Where we differ most
A 1%
Our pick
Draw or away win (X2) · we say 66%
Away win is our most likely single outcome at 41%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the draw or the away side at 66%.
Both teams to score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Consensus
1X2
Away 100%
BTTS
No 91%
O/U 2.5
Under 83%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | No | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
No meetings between these clubs in our records. Our history covers recent seasons, so an older cup tie may not appear.
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Doncaster | 1398 | 0.81 | 1.34 |
| Sheffield Weds | 1342 | 1.23 | 0.93 |
Doncaster rated 57 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| No |
| Under |
| 62% |
“Sheffield Weds' model probability of 47.3% away win is significantly stronger than Doncaster's 26.6% home win, supported by their superior Elo rating (1474 vs 1388) and attacking prowess (1.39 vs 0.80).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | No | Under | 65% |
“Sheffield Weds have a 47.3% win probability and superior ratings (attack 1.39 vs 0.796), while Doncaster's recent form is poor (two losses in last three league games).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | No | Under | 70% |
“Sheffield Weds has a significantly higher win probability of 0.4734 compared to Doncaster's 0.2662, and their Elo rating is 1474.2 versus Doncaster's 1387.8.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Away | No | Under | 73% |
“Sheffield Weds have a 47.3% model probability to win and a 73.4% chance for Double Chance X2 against 19th-placed Doncaster.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | No | Under | 72% |
“Model favours Sheffield Weds (away) 47.34% vs Doncaster 26.62% and draw 26.04%, so the away win is the single-match favourite.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Away | No | Under | 52% |
“Model gives Away 0.4734 and X2 0.7338, backed by Sheff Weds' superior elo (1474 vs 1388), attack (1.39 vs 0.80) and table position (7th vs 19th).” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Away | No | Under | 62% |
“Sheffield Wednesday have a 47.3% win probability per our model, significantly higher than Doncaster's 26.6%, backed by superior ratings (attack 1.39 vs 0.80, defence 0.96 vs 1.31) and 7th place standing versus 19th.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | No | Under | 60% |
“The away team has a higher win probability (0.4734) than the home team (0.2662), and the model's probabilities suggest a relatively low-scoring game with 'U' having a probability of 0.5425 for OU25, and 'N' having a probability of 0.5045 for BTTS.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Away | Yes | Under | 65% |
“Sheffield Weds have higher model probability (0.4734) and better form (18 pts vs 9).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | No | Under | 72% |
“The model gives Sheffield Weds a 47.34% chance to win and 73.38% for X2, backed by their stronger attack (1.39) and better form.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.