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France · Ligue 1 · Fri 23 Oct · 18:45
12th · 9 pts · +2 GD
1:2
Full time
9th · 11 pts · -2 GD
45%
Brest
26%
Draw
29%
Nice
Bookmakers say
43% / 27% / 30%
Where we differ most
H 1%
Our pick
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 71%
Home win is our most likely single outcome at 45%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the home side or the draw at 71%.
Both teams to score
52%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 91%
O/U 2.5
Over 83%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brest | 1401 | 0.85 | 1.51 |
| Nice | 1365 | 0.67 | 1.52 |
Brest rated 36 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 68% |
“Brest's model probability of 53.24% home win is substantial, supported by their superior Elo rating (1403.8 vs 1358.8) and stronger defensive rating (1.397 vs 1.414).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 55% |
“Brest is favored with a 53.2% home win probability and a higher Elo rating (1403.8 vs 1358.8), while BTTS is nearly a coin flip at 51.9% and over 2.5 goals is marginal at 50.6%.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Our model gives Brest a 53.24% chance of winning at home, significantly higher than Nice's 22.31%.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | Yes | Over | 55% |
“The model gives Brest a 53.24% chance to win.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Model gives Brest a 53.24% win probability versus Nice 22.31%, and the 1X double-chance is 77.69%, making 1X the clearest edge.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | Yes | Over | 58% |
“Model gives Brest a clear 0.5324 home win probability and 0.7769 on 1X, backed by higher Elo (1403.8 vs 1358.8) and better table position.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | Yes | Under | 58% |
“Model gives Brest 53.24% win probability vs 22.31% for Nice, with Brest showing superior ELO (1403.8 vs 1358.8) and better home form including a 5-1 win recently.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Home win probability is 0.5324, both teams to score probability is 0.5191, and over 2.5 goals probability is 0.5056, indicating a slight edge for a home win.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | Yes | Under | 75% |
“Brest's model home win probability is 53.24% with strong defence (1.397) and higher elo (1403.8).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Over | 52% |
“The model gives Brest a 53.24% chance to win, supported by stronger form and home advantage.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.