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France · Ligue 2 · Fri 23 Oct · 18:00
16th · 7 pts · -5 GD
0:2
Full time
11th · 11 pts · -2 GD
32%
Clermont
28%
Draw
40%
Guingamp
Bookmakers say
31% / 28% / 41%
Where we differ most
H 1%
Our pick
Draw or away win (X2) · we say 68%
Away win is our most likely single outcome at 40%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the draw or the away side at 68%.
Both teams to score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Consensus
1X2
Home 83%
BTTS
No 91%
O/U 2.5
Under 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | No | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Under | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clermont | 1388 | 0.78 | 1.15 |
| Guingamp | 1361 | 0.98 | 1.46 |
Clermont rated 28 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Under |
| 58% |
“Clermont has a 39.4% win probability with superior defensive rating (1.266 vs 1.443) and higher Elo (1388.9 vs 1363.4), despite weaker attack.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Under | 58% |
“The model gives a 56.6% chance for under 2.5 goals, and both teams have poor recent form with multiple draws and low-scoring games, supporting a tight match.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Clermont has a 39.44% chance of winning according to the model, making them slight favorites.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | No | Under | 35% |
“The model gives Clermont a slight edge with a 39.4% win probability.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | No | Under | 70% |
“Model gives Clermont 39.44% vs Guingamp 31.6% and draw 28.96%, BTTS slightly favours No (50.33% vs 49.67%) and under 2.5 is favoured (U 56.62%).” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | No | Under | 42% |
“Model gives Under 2.5 a clear 0.5662 edge over Over, backed by both sides' weak attack ratings (Clermont 0.85, Guingamp 0.91) and recent low-scoring draws.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | No | Under | 52% |
“Model gives Under 2.5 a 56.6% probability vs 43.4% for Over, and both teams show weak attacking form (Clermont 0.85 attack rating, Guingamp 0.91) with poor defensive records.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | No | Under | 60% |
“The model gives Clermont (home) a 39.44% chance of winning, and the probability of under 2.5 goals is 56.62%, both informing the best bet and other selections.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Clermont's model home win probability is 39.44% vs Guingamp's 31.6%, and Clermont's defensive rating (1.266) is stronger.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“The model gives a 56.62% chance of under 2.5 goals, supported by both teams' weak attack ratings and recent low-scoring games.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.