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France · Ligue 2 · Fri 23 Oct · 18:00
2nd · 19 pts · +4 GD
1:0
Full time
18th · 6 pts · -8 GD
57%
Nancy
24%
Draw
19%
Laval
Bookmakers say
58% / 23% / 18%
Where we differ most
A 1%
Our pick
Home win · we say 57%
We rate Home win the most likely outcome on our numbers at 57%.
Both teams to score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 64%
O/U 2.5
Under 83%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy | 1404 | 0.83 | 1.38 |
| Laval | 1331 | 0.76 | 1.53 |
Nancy rated 73 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Under |
| 62% |
“Nancy's model probability of 44.23% home win is supported by their superior form (3 wins in last 6) and ELO rating of 1413.7 vs Laval's 1343.8, plus Nancy's stronger defensive rating (1.309 vs 1.603).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Nancy is favored with a 44.2% win probability and superior form/position, while the model strongly suggests Under 2.5 goals at 55.2%.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Under | 70% |
“Nancy has a strong home advantage with a model probability of 0.4423 for a home win, compared to Laval's 0.2761 for an away win.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | Yes | Under | 65% |
“Nancy's strong form and higher Elo rating (1413.7 vs 1343.8) make them clear favorites against struggling Laval.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Under | 72% |
“The model favours Nancy to win (H 44.23% vs D 28.17% and A 27.61%), and double-chance 1X is even stronger at 72.39%.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | Yes | Under | 52% |
“Model gives Nancy H 0.4423 and 1X 0.7239, backed by elo 1413>1343, table 5th vs 18th and Nancy's WWWL LW form versus Laval's winless DLDL LL.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | Yes | Under | 62% |
“Nancy's model win probability of 44.23% combined with strong form (4 wins in last 6) and 5th place standing (16 pts, +3 GD) versus Laval's poor form (0 wins in last 6) and 18th place (6 pts, -7 GD) supports a home win.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Under | 65% |
“The model gives home win probability as 0.4423, higher than away win or draw; both teams have relatively weak defence ratings (1.309 and 1.603), suggesting both teams to score is plausible with a probability of 0.5011.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | No | Under | 75% |
“Nancy's model home win probability is 44.23% with superior form (4 wins in 6) and higher Elo (1413.7 vs 1343.8).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 68% |
“The model gives Nancy a 44.23% chance of winning, significantly higher than Laval's 27.61%, supported by stronger form and a better table position.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.