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France · Ligue 2 · Sat 24 Oct · 18:45
1st · 22 pts · +14 GD
VS
Kick-off
14th · 8 pts · -5 GD
58%
St Etienne
23%
Draw
19%
Nantes
Bookmakers say
57% / 24% / 20%
Where we differ most
H 1%
Our pick
Home win · we say 58%
We rate Home win the most likely outcome on our numbers at 58%.
Both teams to score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 91%
O/U 2.5
Over 92%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
No meetings between these clubs in our records. Our history covers recent seasons, so an older cup tie may not appear.
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| St Etienne | 1550 | 1.52 | 1.08 |
| Nantes | 1333 | 0.88 | 1.73 |
St Etienne rated 217 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 72% |
“St Etienne's model probability of 63.74% for a home win is strongly supported by their superior form (4W-1D in last 6) and significant rating advantage (Elo 1564.9 vs Nantes 1403.7).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 60% |
“St Etienne are top with strong form (4W, 1D, 1L) and a 63.7% model probability to win, while Nantes are 14th with poor recent results.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“St Etienne is top of the league with 22 points and a +14 goal difference, while Nantes is 14th with 8 points and a -5 goal difference.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“St Etienne are strong favorites with a 63.7% win probability, supported by their top table position and superior ELO rating of 1564.9.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 78% |
“Model gives St Etienne a 63.74% chance to win (draw 21.01%, Nantes 15.25%), implying a 1X double-chance of 84.75%.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | Yes | Over | 68% |
“Model gives St Etienne (1st, 22 pts, elo 1565) a 0.637 H and 0.8475 1X win probability versus Nantes (14th, 8 pts, elo 1404); OU25 leans O at 0.589 and BTTS Y at 0.542 on solid home attack (1.46) vs weak away defence.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | Yes | Over | 72% |
“St Etienne's model win probability of 63.74% is exceptionally strong, supported by their league-leading position (22 pts, +14 GD) and superior ratings (attack 1.465 vs 0.917, defence 1.009 vs 1.811).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The home team has a 63.74% chance of winning according to our model, and their recent form and ratings support this, with 3 wins in their last 4 games; the away team has a weaker defence rating (1.835 vs 1.057).” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | No | Under | 75% |
“St Etienne's model home win probability is 63.74% and they lead Ligue 2 with 22 points.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“The model gives St Etienne a 63.74% chance to win, supported by their strong form (4 wins in last 6) and higher attack rating (1.465 vs Nantes' 0.917).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.