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Greece · Super League 1 · Sat 24 Oct · 16:30
11th · 5 pts · -8 GD
VS
Kick-off
14th · 2 pts · -11 GD
45%
Asteras Tripolis
29%
Draw
26%
Levadeiakos
Bookmakers say
47% / 28% / 25%
Where we differ most
A 1%
Our pick
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 74%
Home win is our most likely single outcome at 45%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the home side or the draw at 74%.
Both teams to score
60%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Consensus
1X2
Away 67%
BTTS
Yes 91%
O/U 2.5
Over 67%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Under | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis | 1371 | 0.78 | 1.26 |
| Levadeiakos | 1405 | 1.26 | 1.32 |
Levadeiakos rated 34 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 52% |
“Levadeiakos (away) has a 36.5% win probability vs Asteras' 32.4%, with the model favoring the visitor despite lower league position.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | Yes | Over | 55% |
“The model gives Levadiakos a 36.5% win probability, the highest among the three outcomes, and BTTS-Yes at 59.6% is the strongest signal.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | Yes | Over | 60% |
“Levadeiakos has a higher model probability to win at 0.365 compared to Asteras Tripolis at 0.3236.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Away | No | Under | 42% |
“The model slightly favors the away win (0.365) over the home win (0.3236), making the X2 double chance a solid pick at 0.6764.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | Yes | Over | 68% |
“The model slightly favours an away win (Levadeiakos 36.5% vs Asteras 32.4% and Draw 31.2%), so pick A for 1X2.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Away | Yes | Over | 42% |
“Model edges away at 36.5% (vs H 32.4%) backed by superior Elo 1401 vs 1362 and stronger attack ratings; X2 at 67.6% is the sturdier play given both teams' poor defence factors around 1.37-1.40.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Away | Yes | Over | 58% |
“The model assigns the away side the highest win probability at 36.5% and projects a 59.6% chance for BTTS, aligning with Asteras's 1.403 defence rating.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | Yes | Over | 60% |
“The model gives both teams to score (BTTS) a 59.61% chance, and over 2.5 goals a 53% chance; both teams have struggled defensively in their last 6 games.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | Yes | Under | 55% |
“BTTS Y has 59.61% model probability, and Levadeiakos' attack (1.112) vs Asteras' defence (1.403) suggests goals.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 54% |
“The model gives BTTS Y a 59.61% chance, supported by both teams' defensive weaknesses and recent form showing goals at both ends.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.