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Greece · Super League 1 · Sat 24 Oct · 17:00
4th · 14 pts · +13 GD
VS
Kick-off
9th · 9 pts · -3 GD
86%
AEK
10%
Draw
4%
Panetolikos
Bookmakers say
87% / 9% / 4%
Where we differ most
D 1%
Our pick
Home win · we say 86%
We rate Home win the most likely outcome on our numbers at 86%.
Both teams to score
36%
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 75%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | No | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEK | 1530 | 1.65 | 0.50 |
| Panetolikos | 1378 | 0.77 | 1.25 |
AEK rated 152 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Under |
| 72% |
“AEK's model probability of 78.38% home win is strong, supported by superior ratings (Elo 1638.9 vs 1368.8, attack 1.495 vs 0.729).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Under | 78% |
“AEK has a 78.4% model probability to win, strong home form (3-0 win last league match), and a significant Elo rating advantage (1638.9 vs 1368.8), while Panetolikos is on a four-game losing streak.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Over | 85% |
“AEK has a strong home win probability of 0.7838 according to our model, supported by their superior attack rating of 1.572 and a much better table position (4th vs 9th).” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | No | Over | 80% |
“The model strongly favors a home win with a probability of 0.7838, supported by AEK's 1.572 attack rating versus Panetolikos's 1.314 defense rating.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | No | Over | 90% |
“The model gives AEK a 78.38% chance to win and a 1X double-chance probability of 95.92%, so 1X is the strongest single play; BTTS is unlikely (N 63.97%) and over 2.5 has only a slim edge (O 54.49%).” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | No | Over | 72% |
“Model gives AEK a 0.7838 home win and 0.9592 1X probability, backed by a 270-elo gap and Panetolikos' four straight losses.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | No | Over | 78% |
“AEK's model win probability of 78.4% is overwhelming against a struggling Panetolikos side that has lost 4 of last 5 league games.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | No | Over | 80% |
“The model gives AEK a high win probability of 0.7838, and Panetolikos has a weak attack (0.718 dc attack rating) and a leaky defence (1.314 dc defence rating), supporting a home win; AEK's form is mixed but generally strong.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | No | Under | 85% |
“AEK's model home win probability is 78.38% with strong attack (1.572) and defense (0.507) ratings.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Over | 85% |
“The model gives AEK a 78.38% chance of winning, supported by superior form, rating (1638.9 vs 1368.8 ELO), and home advantage.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.