Loading match...
Bet smarter. Join our free Weekend Tipsletter
Join freeLoading match...
Italy · Serie A · Sat 24 Oct · 13:00
8th · 13 pts · -1 GD
VS
Kick-off
15th · 5 pts · -4 GD
31%
Cagliari
30%
Draw
39%
Bologna
Bookmakers say
31% / 31% / 39%
Where we differ most
H 1%
Our pick
Draw or away win (X2) · we say 69%
Away win is our most likely single outcome at 39%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the draw or the away side at 69%.
Both teams to score
44%
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Consensus
1X2
Away 67%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | No | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Under | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 1429 | 0.90 | 1.08 |
| Bologna | 1426 | 1.02 | 1.10 |
Cagliari rated 3 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Under |
| 52% |
“Model favors Under 2.5 (62.38%) over Over 2.5 (37.62%), with both teams showing defensive strength (Cagliari 1.205, Bologna 1.229 DC ratings).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | No | Under | 62% |
“Model gives Under 2.5 a 62.4% probability, and Bologna's away win probability (37.3%) is slightly higher than Cagliari's (34.4%).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | No | Under | 65% |
“The model predicts Under 2.5 goals with a 62.38% probability, which is the highest probability for any single outcome.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Away | No | Under | 63% |
“The model strongly favors Under 2.5 goals at 0.6238 and BTTS No at 0.5602, reflecting both teams' below-average attacking ratings.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | No | Under | 68% |
“Model gives Bologna (A) 37.29% vs Cagliari (H) 34.38% and Draw 28.33%, so the away side is a slight favourite.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Away | No | Under | 58% |
“Model gives Under 2.5 a clear 0.6238 probability, backed by both sides' weak attack ratings (Cagliari ~0.80, Bologna ~0.95) and strong defences (>1.18).” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Away | No | Under | 52% |
“The model gives Under 2.5 goals a 62.4% probability, the highest confidence edge in this tight match where 1X2 probabilities are clustered (A 37.3%, H 34.4%, D 28.3%).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Draw | No | Under | 60% |
“The model gives Under 2.5 goals a 62.38% probability, and both teams have relatively weak attack ratings (Cagliari: 0.806, Bologna: 0.971), supporting a low-scoring match.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Model gives U2.5 a 62.38% chance, and both teams have strong defensive ratings (1.205 and 1.229).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Draw | No | Under | 68% |
“The model gives a 62.38% chance of under 2.5 goals, supported by both teams' low attack ratings and recent form.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.