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Italy · Serie A · Sat 24 Oct · 13:00
5th · 14 pts · +5 GD
VS
Kick-off
13th · 8 pts · -2 GD
65%
Como
20%
Draw
15%
Sassuolo
Bookmakers say
65% / 20% / 15%
Where we differ most
D 0%
Our pick
Home win at 1.49 · we say 65%
We rate Home win the most likely outcome at 65%.
Both teams to score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
65%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
No 91%
O/U 2.5
Over 50%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | No | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como | 1599 | 1.47 | 0.77 |
| Sassuolo | 1430 | 1.09 | 1.25 |
Como rated 169 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Under |
| 72% |
“Como's model probability of 61.63% home win is strong, supported by their superior Elo rating (1588.4 vs 1416.4), better form (3W-1D-2L vs 2W-2D-2L), and attacking advantage (1.343 vs 1.018).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Como's strong home win probability (61.6%) and superior form/position outweigh Sassuolo's poor away record, while the model slightly favors under 2.5 goals (48.5%) and BTTS No (51.5%).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Under | 75% |
“Como has a strong home win probability of 0.6163 according to the model, supported by their higher Elo rating of 1588.4 compared to Sassuolo's 1416.4.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | No | Under | 82% |
“Como's 61.6% home win probability and 83.0% double chance 1X make them strong favorites, supported by their Elo of 1598.7 and attack rating of 1.349.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | No | Over | 78% |
“Model gives Como a 61.63% chance to win and the 1X double chance is 82.99% (model), while BTTS slightly favours No at 51.5% and Over 2.5 is marginal at 51.48%.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | No | Over | 62% |
“Model gives Como a clear 61.6% home win probability, backed by superior Elo (1588 vs 1416), attack rating (1.35 vs 1.03) and table position (5th vs 13th).” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | Yes | Under | 72% |
“Como's model win probability of 61.6% is significantly higher than the implied market odds, and they show strong form with 2 wins in last 3 including a 4-1 UCL victory, while Sassuolo has lost 3 of last 5.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | No | Over | 70% |
“Home win probability is 0.6163, Como has a higher elo rating (1588.4 vs 1416.4) and a stronger defence (0.794 vs 1.372), indicating a likely home win.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | No | Under | 75% |
“Como's model home win probability is 61.63% with strong attack (1.349) and Sassuolo's weak defence (1.372).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Over | 68% |
“Our model gives Como a 61.6% chance of winning, supported by stronger form and a higher rating.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.