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Italy · Serie A · Sat 24 Oct · 18:45
2nd · 19 pts · +10 GD
VS
Kick-off
19th · 4 pts · -9 GD
68%
Lazio
21%
Draw
11%
Parma
Bookmakers say
70% / 19% / 10%
Where we differ most
D 1%
Our pick
Home win at 1.39 · we say 68%
We rate Home win the most likely outcome at 68%.
Both teams to score
32%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 92%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | No | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 1513 | 0.97 | 0.91 |
| Parma | 1374 | 0.61 | 1.09 |
Lazio rated 139 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Under |
| 72% |
“Lazio is heavily favored with 53.77% win probability, supported by their strong form (4W-1D in last 5), 2nd place position with 19 pts, and significant ELO advantage (1527 vs 1348).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Lazio are strong favorites with a 53.8% win probability and excellent form, while Parma are struggling in 18th place.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Under | 80% |
“Lazio has a strong home win probability of 0.5377 according to our model, significantly higher than Parma's 0.1751.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | No | Under | 82% |
“Lazio are strong favorites with a 53.8% win probability, but the best value is Under 2.5 goals at 71.1%, supported by Parma's poor attack rating of 0.547.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | No | Under | 82% |
“Model favors Lazio to win (H 53.8% vs D 28.7% vs A 17.5%) and the double-chance 1X is very strong at 82.49%.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | No | Under | 68% |
“Model gives Under 2.5 a strong 0.7114 probability, backed by Lazio's solid defence (0.93) and Parma's weak attack (0.55) plus poor form (1W in 6).” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | No | Under | 72% |
“Lazio's strong form (5W-1D-0L) and superior ratings (attack 0.965 vs 0.547, defence 0.93 vs 1.222) against struggling Parma (18th, 4 pts, -9 GD) suggest a controlled home win.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | No | Under | 80% |
“Lazio has a 53.77% chance of winning at home (1X2 model probability), and Parma has a low chance of scoring due to Lazio's strong defence (0.93 dc defence rating) and Parma's poor attack (0.547 dc attack rating), supporting the 'N' for BTTS and 'U' for OU25.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | No | Under | 85% |
“Lazio's model home win probability is 53.77% with superior attack (0.965) and defence (0.93) ratings.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 85% |
“Lazio has a 53.77% model probability to win, backed by strong form (5 wins in last 6) and superior table position (2nd vs 18th).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.