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Netherlands · Eredivisie · Fri 23 Oct · 18:00
8th · 14 pts
3:2
Full time
16th · 6 pts · -9 GD
60%
Go Ahead Eagles
21%
Draw
19%
Telstar
Bookmakers say
62% / 20% / 18%
Where we differ most
A 1%
Our pick
Home win · we say 60%
We rate Home win the most likely outcome on our numbers at 60%.
Both teams to score
62%
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Go Ahead Eagles | 1435 | 1.17 | 1.46 |
| Telstar | 1392 | 0.86 | 1.37 |
Go Ahead Eagles rated 43 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 68% |
“Go Ahead Eagles have a clear model edge at 46.69% home win probability with superior Elo rating (1412.3 vs 1385.8) and better defensive record (1.594 vs 1.507).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 60% |
“The model gives BTTS a 62% probability (0.6207), the strongest signal among the main markets, while the home win (46.7%) and over 2.5 goals (59.7%) are less decisive.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Go Ahead Eagles have a 46.69% chance of winning according to our model, compared to Telstar's 27.53%.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The model gives Go Ahead Eagles a 72.5% chance for 1X, backed by their higher Elo (1412 vs 1385) and superior table position.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 68% |
“The model favours Go Ahead Eagles to win (H 0.4669 vs A 0.2753 and D 0.2578) and double chance 12 is highest at 0.7422.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | Yes | Over | 52% |
“Model gives home 0.4669 edge over away 0.2753 with GAE higher elo 1412 vs 1385 and better table spot; both sides show weak defences (GAE def 1.59, Telstar 1.51) plus recent high-scoring draws/losses, supporting BTTS Y at 0.6207 and O2.5 at 0.5966.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | Yes | Over | 62% |
“Model gives Go Ahead Eagles 46.7% win probability vs 27.5% for Telstar, with home side showing superior Elo rating (1412.3 vs 1385.8) and 9th place standing against 16th.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The model gives Home win 46.69% probability, both teams to score 62.07%, and over 2.5 goals 59.66%, indicating a likely home win with goals from both teams.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Home model probability 46.69% vs Telstar's 27.53%, with Go Ahead Eagles' stronger attack (1.09) and defence (1.594).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 68% |
“The model gives a 62.07% chance of both teams scoring (BTTS:Y), supported by Go Ahead Eagles' weak defence (DC defence 1.594) and Telstar's tendency to concede.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.