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Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat 24 Oct · 16:45
18th · 2 pts · -17 GD
VS
Kick-off
14th · 9 pts · -8 GD
37%
Willem II
25%
Draw
38%
Cambuur
Bookmakers say
38% / 25% / 38%
Where we differ most
A 0%
Our pick
Draw or away win (X2) · we say 63%
Away win is our most likely single outcome at 38%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the draw or the away side at 63%.
Both teams to score
62%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Consensus
1X2
Away 92%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
No meetings between these clubs in our records. Our history covers recent seasons, so an older cup tie may not appear.
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Willem II | 1357 | 0.59 | 2.29 |
| Cambuur | 1405 | 0.97 | 2.29 |
Cambuur rated 49 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 62% |
“Cambuur (away) has a 40.7% win probability vs Willem II's 32.6%, supported by Cambuur's superior Elo rating (1406.9 vs 1348.5) and better recent form (2W-2D-2L vs 0W-1D-5L).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | Yes | Over | 58% |
“The model gives Cambuur a 40.7% win probability, the highest among the three outcomes, and their Elo rating (1406.9) is significantly stronger than Willem II's (1348.5).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Cambuur has a significantly higher win probability at 40.68% compared to Willem II's 32.59%, and their form shows 2 wins and 3 draws in their last 6 games, while Willem II has 5 losses and 1 draw.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“The model gives Cambuur a strong chance to avoid defeat, with a Double Chance X2 probability of 0.6741.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | Yes | Over | 70% |
“Model gives Cambuur (away) 40.68% vs Willem II 32.59% with draw 26.74%, and Cambuur have higher Elo (1406.9 vs 1348.5) and more points (9 vs 2).” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Away | Yes | Over | 42% |
“Model gives Cambuur the edge at A 0.4068 vs H 0.3259, backed by superior elo (1406 vs 1348), table (14th/9pts vs 18th/2pts) and form; X2 at 0.6741 is the standout.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Away | Yes | Over | 52% |
“Cambuur leads with 40.7% win probability vs Willem II's 32.6%, and holds superior ratings (ELO 1406.9 vs 1348.5, attack 0.92 vs 0.63).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“The model's probability for BTTS being 'Y' is 0.6171, indicating a relatively high chance of both teams scoring; the probabilities for 1X2 are relatively balanced but slightly favour the away team, Cambuur.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Cambuur's model win probability (40.68%) and better form (3 wins/draws in last 6) outweigh Willem II's poor form (5 losses in last 6).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | Yes | Over | 68% |
“The model gives a 61.71% chance of both teams scoring (BTTS Y), supported by Willem II's weak defence (defence rating 2.448) and Cambuur's moderate attack (0.92).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.