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Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat 24 Oct · 19:30
8th · 14 pts · +2 GD
VS
Kick-off
2nd · 21 pts · +13 GD
14%
Gil Vicente
21%
Draw
65%
FC Porto
Bookmakers say
12% / 20% / 68%
Where we differ most
H 2%
Our pick
Away win · we say 65%
We rate Away win the most likely outcome on our numbers at 65%.
Both teams to score
43%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Consensus
1X2
Away 100%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 92%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | No | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
No meetings between these clubs in our records. Our history covers recent seasons, so an older cup tie may not appear.
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente | 1461 | 0.99 | 0.95 |
| FC Porto | 1276 | 1.37 | 0.86 |
Gil Vicente rated 185 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| No |
| Under |
| 62% |
“Porto's model probability of 42.64% away win is significantly stronger than Gil Vicente's 28.82% home win, supported by Porto's superior Elo rating (1524.8 vs 1464.2) and attacking strength (1.638 vs 0.938).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | No | Under | 65% |
“Porto has a 42.6% win probability and a strong 71.2% chance for a double chance (X2), while the model gives Under 2.5 goals a 62.8% probability, the clearest signal.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | No | Under | 70% |
“FC Porto has a significantly stronger attack (1.638) and defence (0.569) compared to Gil Vicente (attack 0.938, defence 0.988).” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Away | No | Under | 45% |
“The model gives a Double Chance X2 a high 71.18% probability, indicating Porto is unlikely to lose.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | No | Under | 70% |
“Model gives Porto the edge (A 0.4264 vs H 0.2882, D 0.2854) and the double-chance X2 probability is 0.7118, so Porto should avoid defeat.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Away | No | Under | 58% |
“Model gives Porto (A) 0.4264 and X2 0.7118, backed by superior ratings (elo 1524.8, attack ~1.62) and 2nd place vs Gil Vicente 8th.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Away | No | Under | 62% |
“The model gives Under 2.5 goals a 62.78% probability, the highest confidence edge in this matchup.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | No | Under | 70% |
“The model gives FC Porto a 42.64% chance of winning away from home, while Gil Vicente has only a 28.82% chance of winning at home.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Away | No | Under | 75% |
“Porto's model win probability is 42.64% vs Gil Vicente's 28.82%, and Porto's attack (1.613) and defence (0.556) ratings dominate.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | No | Under | 78% |
“The model gives a 62.78% chance of under 2.5 goals, supported by Gil Vicente's low attack (0.938) and Porto's recent low-scoring games.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.