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Scotland · Premiership · Sat 24 Oct · 14:00
8th · 9 pts · -3 GD
VS
Kick-off
10th · 8 pts · -10 GD
51%
Falkirk
24%
Draw
25%
Kilmarnock
Bookmakers say
51% / 24% / 25%
Where we differ most
H 0%
Our pick
Home win · we say 51%
We rate Home win the most likely outcome on our numbers at 51%.
Both teams to score
60%
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falkirk | 1382 | 0.95 | 1.36 |
| Kilmarnock | 1368 | 0.94 | 1.69 |
Falkirk rated 14 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 62% |
“Falkirk's model probability of 52.08% home win is substantial, supported by their superior Elo rating (1392.6 vs 1374.2) and better defensive record (1.335 vs 1.686).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 55% |
“Falkirk has a 52.1% win probability and a higher Elo rating (1392.6 vs 1374.2), while both teams have a 60.2% chance of BTTS and a 59.9% chance of over 2.5 goals.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 60% |
“Falkirk has a 52.08% chance of winning according to our model, significantly higher than Kilmarnock's 24.7%.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | Yes | Over | 60% |
“The model gives Both Teams To Score a 60.2% probability, the highest among the main markets.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Model favors a decisive result — home win 52.08% (draw 23.22%, away 24.70%) and double-chance 12 is 76.78%, so back 12 (no draw).” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | Yes | Over | 52% |
“Model favours Falkirk at 52.1% win (1X 75.3%) with higher elo 1392 vs 1374 and better table spot.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | Yes | Over | 62% |
“Model gives Falkirk 52.1% win probability vs Kilmarnock's 24.7%, with Falkirk holding higher Elo (1392.6 vs 1374.2) and better defensive ratings (1.335 vs 1.686).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The model gives home win probability as 0.5208, both teams to score probability as 0.602, and over 2.5 goals probability as 0.5992; home team is slightly favoured to win.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Model gives Falkirk 52.08% home win chance; Kilmarnock's defence (1.686) is strong but Falkirk's attack (0.941) and home form (3 wins in 6) edge it.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 68% |
“The model gives Falkirk a 52.08% chance of winning, supported by stronger form and a home advantage.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.