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Spain · La Liga · Sat 24 Oct · 14:15
17th · 8 pts · -12 GD
VS
Kick-off
16th · 8 pts · -1 GD
40%
Santander
26%
Draw
34%
Espanol
Bookmakers say
40% / 26% / 34%
Where we differ most
H 0%
Our pick
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 66%
Home win is our most likely single outcome at 40%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the home side or the draw at 66%.
Both teams to score
61%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
No meetings between these clubs in our records. Our history covers recent seasons, so an older cup tie may not appear.
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santander | 1491 | 1.17 | 2.35 |
| Espanol | 1382 | 0.81 | 1.27 |
Santander rated 109 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 58% |
“Santander has a 42.8% win probability with superior defensive rating (2.19 vs 1.17) despite poor recent form; both teams show weak form but BTTS at 60.7% and OU2.5 at 57.6% suggest an open match with multiple goals likely.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 58% |
“Santander has a slight edge in the 1X2 model (42.8% vs 31.4% for away) and strong home double chance probability of 68.6%, while both teams have poor defensive ratings (Santander 2.185, Espanol 1.173) supporting BTTS at 60.7%.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Santander has a 42.84% chance of winning according to our model, compared to Espanol's 31.39%.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | Yes | Over | 45% |
“The model strongly indicates a non-draw outcome, with a 74.22% probability for 12.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 74% |
“Model gives Santander the highest win probability (H 0.4284 vs A 0.3139) and predicts BTTS Y 0.6072 and Over 2.5 O 0.5756; the strongest single signal is double chance 12 at 0.7422.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | Yes | Over | 42% |
“Model gives BTTS Y a clear 0.6072 edge with Santander's weak defence (2.19) and both sides' recent high-scoring losses.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | Yes | Over | 52% |
“Santander's home win probability of 42.8% combined with the draw at 25.8% gives a 68.6% chance for 1X double chance.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“The model gives home win probability as 0.4284, higher than away win (0.3139) and draw (0.2578); Santander are slightly stronger according to ratings (elo 1394 vs 1371.8).” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Santander's model home win probability is 42.84% vs Espanyol's 31.39%, and their attack (1.115) is stronger than Espanyol's defence (1.17).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 68% |
“Model gives BTTS Y at 60.72% vs bookmakers' implied probability (not shown), and both teams have weak defences (Santander defence: 2.19, Espanol defence: 1.17).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.