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Spain · La Liga · Sat 24 Oct · 19:00
2nd · 22 pts · +11 GD
VS
Kick-off
9th · 11 pts · +1 GD
76%
Ath Madrid
16%
Draw
8%
La Coruna
Bookmakers say
78% / 15% / 8%
Where we differ most
D 1%
Our pick
Home win at 1.26 · we say 76%
We rate Home win the most likely outcome at 76%.
Both teams to score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
61%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 82%
O/U 2.5
Over 83%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
No meetings between these clubs in our records. Our history covers recent seasons, so an older cup tie may not appear.
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ath Madrid | 1561 | 1.22 | 1.03 |
| La Coruna | 1526 | 0.94 | 1.21 |
Ath Madrid rated 36 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 72% |
“Atletico Madrid's model probability of 61.09% for home win is strong, supported by their 2nd-place table position (22 pts), superior Elo rating (1551 vs 1439), and recent form (4W-1D).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Ath Madrid has a 61% win probability, strong home form, and a significant Elo rating advantage (1551 vs 1439).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“Ath Madrid has a strong home win probability of 0.6109 according to our model, and their attack rating is 1.271 compared to La Coruna's 0.949.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“The model gives Ath Madrid a 61.1% chance to win, supported by their 113-point ELO rating advantage (1551 vs 1438).” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 80% |
“Prefer double chance 1X — the model gives 1X = 0.8411 with a home win probability of 0.6109 and Ath Madrid are 5W-1D in their last six.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | Yes | Over | 62% |
“Model gives Ath Madrid a clear 0.6109 home win probability and 0.8411 on 1X, backed by superior elo (1551 vs 1438), attack rating (1.27) and table position (2nd vs 9th).” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | No | Under | 72% |
“Ath Madrid have 61.09% win probability and strong form (5 wins in last 6), while La Coruna have no wins in their last 6.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The model gives Ath Madrid a 61.09% chance of winning at home, with La Coruna having a relatively weak defence (1.209 dc factor); Ath Madrid's home form is strong with 4 wins in last 5 games.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | No | Under | 85% |
“Ath Madrid's model home win probability is 61.09% with strong attack (1.271) and La Coruna's poor form (1L, 3D, 2W in last 6).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 68% |
“The model gives Ath Madrid a 61.09% chance of winning, backed by superior form and a +11 GD vs La Coruna's +1.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.