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Spain · Segunda Division · Fri 23 Oct · 18:30
5th · 20 pts · +4 GD
2:1
Full time
13th · 12 pts
43%
Granada
28%
Draw
28%
Valladolid
Bookmakers say
43% / 29% / 29%
Where we differ most
H 1%
Our pick
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 72%
Home win is our most likely single outcome at 43%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the home side or the draw at 72%.
Both teams to score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 73%
O/U 2.5
Under 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Under | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Granada | 1418 | 0.99 | 1.27 |
| Valladolid | 1387 | 0.78 | 1.22 |
Granada rated 31 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Under |
| 62% |
“Granada's model probability of 47.59% for home win is supported by their superior Elo rating (1431 vs 1382.8) and recent form (3W-1L vs Valladolid's 2W-2D-2L).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Under | 55% |
“Granada has a 47.6% win probability and higher Elo (1431 vs 1383), while Valladolid's recent form includes a 5-0 win but also a home loss.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Under | 65% |
“Granada has a 47.59% chance of winning according to our model, significantly higher than Valladolid's 26.4%.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | Yes | Under | 65% |
“The model gives Granada a 47.6% win probability, significantly higher than the 26% for either a draw or a Valladolid win.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Under | 70% |
“Model gives Granada a 47.6% chance to win (Valladolid 26.4%) and double-chance 12 is 74%, with Granada also higher Elo (1431 vs 1382.8) and stronger recent form.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | Yes | Under | 52% |
“Model gives Granada a 0.476 home win edge and 0.736 on 1X, backed by higher Elo (1431 vs 1382) and better table position (8th/17pts vs 13th/12).” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | No | Under | 58% |
“Granada's model probability of 47.6% for home win exceeds Valladolid's 26.4%, supported by Granada's superior form (3 wins in last 4 vs Valladolid's 2 wins in 6) and higher Elo rating (1431 vs 1383).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Under | 65% |
“The model gives Granada a 47.59% chance of winning at home, and they have a higher Elo rating (1431.0) than Valladolid (1382.8), indicating a stronger team.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | Yes | Under | 65% |
“Granada's home form (3 wins in last 6) and higher model probability (0.476) vs Valladolid's 0.264.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 58% |
“The model gives a 53.14% chance for under 2.5 goals and 46.86% for over, slightly favoring under.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.