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Spain · Segunda Division · Sat 24 Oct · 14:15
18th · 11 pts · -9 GD
VS
Kick-off
7th · 18 pts · +7 GD
28%
Leganes
29%
Draw
42%
Mallorca
Bookmakers say
29% / 29% / 42%
Where we differ most
D 1%
Our pick
Draw or away win (X2) · we say 72%
Away win is our most likely single outcome at 42%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the draw or the away side at 72%.
Both teams to score
32%
Over 2.5 goals
39%
Consensus
1X2
Away 100%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | No | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Under | - |
No meetings between these clubs in our records. Our history covers recent seasons, so an older cup tie may not appear.
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 1359 | 0.70 | 1.15 |
| Mallorca | 1452 | 0.94 | 0.39 |
Mallorca rated 93 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| No |
| Under |
| 62% |
“Mallorca's model probability of 44.07% away win is significantly stronger than Leganes' 23.08% home win, supported by their superior Elo rating (1483 vs 1352) and better form (2W-1D-3L vs 1W-0D-5L).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | No | Under | 65% |
“Mallorca has a strong 44.1% win probability and superior form/position, while the model shows a 74.8% chance for Under 2.5 goals, supported by Leganes' poor attack (0.664 rating) and low BTTS probability (32.2%).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | No | Under | 75% |
“Mallorca has a significantly higher probability of winning at 44.07% compared to Leganes' 23.08%.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Away | No | Under | 77% |
“Mallorca has a 0.4407 probability to win and superior form compared to Leganes' 1W 5L.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | No | Under | 75% |
“The model gives Mallorca a 44.07% chance vs Leganes 23.08% (draw 32.85%) and DC X2 is 76.92%, so away/draw is the strongest single play.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Away | No | Under | 68% |
“Model gives Under 2.5 a 0.7481 probability and BTTS No 0.6785, backed by Leganes’ weak attack (0.66–0.70) and four straight losses with almost no goals.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Away | No | Under | 72% |
“The model gives Under 2.5 a 74.8% probability (OU25: U 0.7481), the highest confidence in any market.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | No | Under | 70% |
“The away team has a higher probability of winning (0.4407) and is in a better table position (6th vs 18th).” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Away | No | Under | 75% |
“Mallorca's model win probability is 44.07% with superior attack (0.946) and defence (0.431) ratings.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | No | Under | 78% |
“Our model gives a 67.85% chance of no BTTS, supported by Leganes' weak attack (0.664 DC attack) and Mallorca's strong defence (0.427 DC defence).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.