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Turkey · Super Lig · Fri 23 Oct · 17:00
9th · 13 pts · -2 GD
1:2
Full time
5th · 15 pts · +2 GD
48%
Alanyaspor
29%
Draw
23%
Kocaelispor
Bookmakers say
49% / 28% / 23%
Where we differ most
D 1%
Our pick
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 77%
Home win is our most likely single outcome at 48%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the home side or the draw at 77%.
Both teams to score
34%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | No | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Under | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor | 1433 | 0.92 | 1.02 |
| Kocaelispor | 1411 | 0.62 | 0.85 |
Alanyaspor rated 22 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Under |
| 62% |
“Alanyaspor's model probability of 41.27% for home win is supported by their superior Elo rating (1425.4 vs 1400.8) and better attack rating (0.86 vs 0.618).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“The model gives a 74.7% chance for under 2.5 goals, and both teams have low attack ratings (0.86 vs 0.62).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Under | 75% |
“The model predicts 'No' for Both Teams To Score with a high probability of 0.6586, and 'Under 2.5 Goals' with 0.7468.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“The model strongly indicates a low-scoring affair with Under 2.5 goals at 74.68% and Both Teams To Score - No at 65.86%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | No | Under | 74% |
“Model gives Alanyaspor a 41.27% win probability vs 36.04% draw and 22.69% away, with double-chance 1X at 77.31%.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | No | Under | 68% |
“Model gives 1X a strong 0.7731 probability with home edge (H 0.4127, D 0.3604) and similar table positions; OU25 under at 0.7468 and BTTS N at 0.6586 also align with weak away attack (0.618) and recent low-scoring form.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | No | Under | 62% |
“The model gives Under 2.5 a 74.7% probability, the highest confidence in any market, supported by both teams' weak attacks (Alanyaspo DC attack 0.861, Kocaelispor 0.615) and recent low-scoring form (Alanyaspor's last 3 games: 0-3, 0-0, 0-0).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | No | Under | 70% |
“The model gives home win (H) 41.27% and draw (D) 36.04%, so 1X is 77.31% likely; under 2.5 goals (U) is 74.68% likely, both are good bets.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | No | Under | 75% |
“Model gives U2.5 a 74.68% chance; Alanyaspor's strong home defence (1.026) and Kocaelispor's weak attack (0.615) support low goals.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 78% |
“The model gives a 74.68% chance of under 2.5 goals, supported by low attacking ratings (Alanyaspor attack: 0.861, Kocaelispor attack: 0.615) and recent low-scoring form.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.