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Italy · Serie A · Thu 29 Oct · 19:45
18th · 4 pts · -9 GD
VS
Kick-off
11th · 9 pts · -1 GD
28%
Fiorentina
26%
Draw
47%
Atalanta
Bookmakers say
odds not in yet
Where we differ most
-
Our pick
Draw or away win (X2) · we say 72%
Away win is our most likely single outcome at 47%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the draw or the away side at 72%.
Both teams to score
48%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 1408 | 0.91 | 1.32 |
| Atalanta | 1493 | 1.10 | 0.91 |
Atalanta rated 85 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
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