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England · League Two · Fri 30 Oct · 19:45
12th · 15 pts · +1 GD
VS
Kick-off
9th · 16 pts · +2 GD
46%
Newport County
32%
Draw
22%
Chesterfield
Bookmakers say
odds not in yet
Where we differ most
-
Our pick
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 78%
Home win is our most likely single outcome at 46%, but not a majority call, so the pick is the double chance on the home side or the draw at 78%.
Both teams to score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
No meetings between these clubs in our records. Our history covers recent seasons, so an older cup tie may not appear.
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newport County | 1457 | 1.17 | 0.98 |
| Chesterfield | 1459 | 1.28 | 0.89 |
Chesterfield rated 2 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
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