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England · League One · Tue 27 Oct · 19:45
10th · 19 pts · +3 GD
3:0
Full time
21st · 10 pts · -11 GD
69%
Leicester
19%
Draw
13%
Wigan
Bookmakers say
71% / 17% / 12%
Where we differ most
D 1%
Safest read
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 87%
Our safest read is Home win or draw (1X) at 87%; the bookmakers say 88%.
Both teams to score
46%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 83%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | No | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 1387 | 0.92 | 1.39 |
| Wigan | 1370 | 0.70 | 1.22 |
Leicester rated 17 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProLeicester 3-0 Wigan. Our model leaned Leicester to win (69%) and called it right. Picks: Leicester to win won (+0.0u), O won (+0.0u), Leicester to win won (+4.0u), U lost (-10.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Under |
| 68% |
“Leicester's model probability of 48.24% home win is substantial, supported by their superior Elo rating (1439.3 vs 1359.0) and better defensive rating (1.388 vs 1.158).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Leicester is favored at home with a 48.2% win probability and a stronger rating (Elo 1439 vs 1359), while the model shows a 57.7% chance for Under 2.5 goals and a 53.5% chance for BTTS No.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Under | 70% |
“Leicester has a 48.24% chance of winning according to our model, significantly higher than Wigan's 24.77%.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Our model gives Leicester a 48.24% chance of victory.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | No | Under | 75% |
“Model gives a home win 48.24% (vs draw 26.99% and away 24.77%) and the double chance 1X is 75.23%, so backing Leicester/not-away is strongest.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | No | Under | 58% |
“Model gives Leicester a 0.4824 home win probability and 0.7523 on 1X, backed by superior Elo (1439 vs 1359) and Wigan’s bottom-place form (7 pts, GD -9).” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | No | Under | 62% |
“Model gives 57.7% probability for under 2.5 goals, well above the 50% threshold, supported by Wigan's weak attack (0.724 DC attack rating) and Leicester's strong defence (1.388 DC defence rating).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | No | Under | 70% |
“The model gives Leicester a 48.24% chance of winning (H), with a relatively high probability compared to Wigan's 24.77% (A).” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | No | Under | 75% |
“Leicester's model home win probability is 48.24% vs Wigan's 24.77%, with Leicester's higher Elo (1439.3) and better form (3 wins in last 6).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 72% |
“The model gives Leicester a 48.24% chance to win, significantly higher than Wigan's 24.77%, supported by superior ratings and form.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.