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England · National League · Tue 27 Oct · 19:45
19th · 17 pts · -7 GD
4:1
Full time
22nd · 10 pts · -11 GD
44%
Tamworth
23%
Draw
33%
Scunthorpe
Bookmakers say
43% / 24% / 33%
Where we differ most
H 0%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 77%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 77%; the bookmakers say 76%.
Both teams to score
59%
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tamworth | 1404 | 1.14 | 1.86 |
| Scunthorpe | 1400 | 0.88 | 1.46 |
Tamworth rated 4 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProTamworth 4-1 Scunthorpe. Our model leaned Tamworth to win (44%) and called it right.
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 58% |
“Tamworth (home) has a 47.2% win probability vs Scunthorpe's 34.5%, supported by slightly better Elo (1403.9 vs 1388.6) and superior attack rating (1.128 vs 0.895).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 58% |
“The model gives Tamworth a 47.2% chance to win at home, the highest probability among the 1X2 outcomes, and their double chance (1X) is a strong 65.5%.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 60% |
“Tamworth has a higher model probability of winning at 0.4722 compared to Scunthorpe's 0.3448.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“The model gives Tamworth a 47.2% home win probability against Scunthorpe's 34.5%, making the Double Chance 1X the safest pick at 65.5%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 82% |
“The model gives Tamworth a 47.22% win probability vs 18.30% draw and 34.48% away, and the double-chance 12 (no draw) is 81.7%, the strongest single edge.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | Yes | Over | 52% |
“Model gives home 0.4722 edge over away 0.3448 with draw only 0.183, so DC 12 at 0.817 is the clearest lean; BTTS Y 0.588 and OU25 O 0.5971 also favoured but closer.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | Yes | Over | 52% |
“Tamworth has 47.2% win probability vs Scunthorpe's 34.5%, with home advantage and better recent form (3W-3L vs 2W-4L).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“The model gives Tamworth a 47.22% chance of winning (H: 0.4722), and both teams to score is likely with a probability of 58.8% (Y: 0.588); over 2.5 goals is also probable at 59.71% (O: 0.5971).” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Tamworth's home model probability is 47.22% vs Scunthorpe's 34.48%, and Tamworth's attack (1.128) and defence (1.885) ratings are stronger.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“The model gives a 58.8% chance of both teams scoring, supported by Scunthorpe's weak defence (DC defence factor 1.579) and Tamworth's slightly above-average attack (1.128).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.