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England · National League · Wed 28 Oct · 19:45
10th · 24 pts · +1 GD
2:0
Full time
30th · 3 pts · -2 GD
51%
Sutton
24%
Draw
24%
Aldershot Town
Bookmakers say
52% / 24% / 24%
Where we differ most
A 1%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 76%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 76%; the bookmakers say 76%.
Both teams to score
39%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
No 91%
O/U 2.5
Over 67%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | No | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton | 1415 | 0.67 | 1.39 |
| Aldershot Town | 1436 | 0.94 | 1.20 |
Aldershot Town rated 21 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProBoston United 2-0 Aldershot Town. Our model leaned Boston United to win (51%) and called it right. Picks: Home or away won (+0.0u), Boston United to win won (+0.0u), O lost (0.0u), Boston United to win won (+8.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Over |
| 58% |
“Boston United's model probability of 51.4% home win has a +0.9% edge over market (52.3%), and they have superior Elo rating (1414.5 vs 1426.9 for Aldershot).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 62% |
“Our model gives Boston United a 51.4% win probability, the highest among outcomes, and their attack rating (1.321) is significantly stronger than Aldershot's (0.12).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Over | 65% |
“Boston United has a significantly higher model probability of winning at 0.514 compared to Aldershot Town's 0.2443.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | No | Under | 62% |
“The model gives Under 2.5 goals a 45.3% probability with a positive edge of 0.0091 against the market.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | No | Over | 70% |
“The model gives Boston United a 51.4% win probability vs Aldershot 24.4% (draw 24.2%) and the double-chance 12 (no draw) is 75.9%, making DC 12 the clearest edge.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | No | Over | 38% |
“Model 1X2 favors home at 0.514 (DC 1X 0.756) with Boston attack 1.32 far above Aldershot's 0.12; BTTS N 0.517 and OU25 O 0.547 are thin edges while both sides show poor form and near-equal Elo.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | No | Under | 52% |
“Model gives Under 2.5 at 45.3% vs market 44.4%, a small +0.9% edge.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | No | Over | 70% |
“The model gives home win probability as 0.514, with Boston United having a stronger attack rating (1.347) than Aldershot Town (0.12); both teams have poor recent form.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | No | Under | 70% |
“Model gives home win 51.4% vs market 52.3%, with Boston's strong attack (1.321) and Aldershot's weak defence (1.053).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 55% |
“The model gives a 45.3% chance of under 2.5 goals with a slight positive edge (0.0091) against the market, and both teams have poor form and low attacking ratings.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.