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Italy · Serie B · Tue 27 Oct · 19:00
15th · 10 pts · -1 GD
1:1
Full time
6th · 15 pts · +5 GD
46%
Virtus Entella
29%
Draw
25%
Avellino
Bookmakers say
46% / 29% / 25%
Where we differ most
H 0%
Safest read
Home win or draw (1X) · we say 75%
Our safest read is Home win or draw (1X) at 75%; the bookmakers say 75%.
Both teams to score
46%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Consensus
1X2
Home 83%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 100%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Home | No | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Home | - | Under | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella | 1388 | 0.78 | 1.11 |
| Avellino | 1453 | 0.89 | 1.17 |
Avellino rated 65 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProVirtus Entella 1-1 Avellino. Our model leaned Virtus Entella to win (46%) and got this one wrong. Picks: Home or draw won (+0.0u), U won (+0.0u), Virtus Entella to win lost (-10.0u), U won (+6.5u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| No |
| Under |
| 58% |
“Virtus Entella has a slight model edge at 38.13% vs Avellino's 30.33%, supported by better Elo rating (1400.9 vs 1427.8 for Avellino, though Avellino rates higher).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Draw | No | Under | 58% |
“The model gives a 61.9% chance for Under 2.5 goals, and BTTS No is favored at 54.1%.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“The model predicts Under 2.5 goals with a 61.9% probability.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | No | Under | 55% |
“The model suggests a home win or draw is highly probable at 69.7%.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Model gives home win 38.13% vs draw 31.53% and away 30.33%, while double chance 1X is 69.67% (strongest edge).” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | No | Under | 42% |
“Model gives Under 2.5 a clear 0.619 edge over Over (0.381), backed by both sides' modest attack ratings (0.75 and 0.90).” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | No | Under | 52% |
“The model gives Under 2.5 a 61.9% probability, the highest confidence of any market.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Draw | No | Under | 60% |
“The model gives 61.9% chance of under 2.5 goals (OU25:U), and 54.07% chance of not both teams scoring (BTTS:N), both indicating a low-scoring match; the probabilities for 1X2 are relatively evenly distributed.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Model gives U2.5 a 61.9% chance, and both teams have strong defensive ratings (1.158 and 1.205).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 68% |
“The model gives a 61.9% chance of under 2.5 goals, supported by both teams' low attacking ratings and recent low-scoring games.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.