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Scotland · Premiership · Wed 28 Oct · 19:45
7th · 14 pts · -8 GD
1:1
Full time
11th · 8 pts · -6 GD
28%
St Mirren
26%
Draw
46%
Hibernian
Bookmakers say
28% / 27% / 45%
Where we differ most
A 1%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 74%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 74%; the bookmakers say 73%. The value angle is A:0.5 at 2.01: we say 73%.
Both teams to score
44%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Consensus
1X2
Away 92%
BTTS
No 100%
O/U 2.5
Under 58%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | No | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| St Mirren | 1332 | 0.61 | 1.32 |
| Hibernian | 1449 | 1.02 | 1.07 |
Hibernian rated 116 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProSt Mirren 1-1 Hibernian. Our model leaned Hibernian to win (46%) and got this one wrong. Picks: A:0.5 won (+10.1u), Home or away lost (0.0u), O lost (0.0u), Hibernian to win lost (-10.0u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| No |
| Under |
| 52% |
“Hibernian has a 46.3% win probability vs St Mirren's 28.1%, with a -0.33% edge favoring the away side.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | No | Under | 62% |
“The model gives a 56.2% chance for BTTS No, and both teams have poor recent form with low-scoring games.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | No | Under | 65% |
“Hibernian has a significantly higher model probability of winning at 0.4634 compared to St Mirren's 0.2813.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Away | No | Over | 68% |
“Hibernian have a 46.3% model probability to win and the X2 double chance is 71.9%, supported by their superior Elo of 1426 against St Mirren's 1331.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | No | Over | 65% |
“Model gives Hibernian 46.34% vs St Mirren 28.13% and draw 25.53%, with double-chance 12 at 74.47%.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Away | No | Over | 48% |
“Model gives Hibernian 46.3% win probability and X2 at 71.9% with a clear Elo edge (1426 vs 1331); BTTS no at 56.2% fits both sides' weak attacks and recent low-scoring form.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Away | No | Under | 52% |
“Model gives Under 2.5 a 44.0% chance vs market 42.1%, creating a 1.95% edge.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | No | Under | 60% |
“The model's probability for an away win is 0.4634, higher than home win (0.2813) and draw (0.2553); both teams have poor recent form and defensive issues, but BTTS 'N' is slightly favored at 0.5623, and under 2.5 goals is somewhat likely at 0.4402.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Away | No | Under | 75% |
“Hibernian's model probability (0.4634) is higher than St Mirren's (0.2813), and their Elo (1426.2) and attack rating (1.029) outperform St Mirren's (1331.1, 0.608).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Draw | No | Under | 68% |
“The model gives a 56.23% chance for under 2.5 goals and 56.23% chance for no BTTS, supported by both teams' poor attack ratings (Hibernian 0.975, St Mirren 0.618) and low goal expectancy in recent form.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.