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Scotland · Premiership · Wed 28 Oct · 20:00
4th · 20 pts · +7 GD
2:2
Full time
3rd · 24 pts · +10 GD
31%
Heart Of Midlothian
25%
Draw
44%
Rangers
Bookmakers say
26% / 25% / 49%
Where we differ most
H +5%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 75%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 75%; the bookmakers say 75%. The value angle is H:0.5 at 1.71: we say 69%.
Both teams to score
58%
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Consensus
1X2
Away 92%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 92%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian | 1583 | 1.35 | 0.85 |
| Rangers | 1595 | 1.40 | 0.95 |
Rangers rated 11 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProHeart Of Midlothian 2-2 Rangers. Our model leaned Rangers to win (44%) and got this one wrong. Picks: H:0.5 won (+7.1u), Home or away lost (0.0u), O won (+0.0u), H:0.5 won (+7.1u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 52% |
“Rangers have strong recent form (4W-1D) and a superior Elo rating (1601 vs 1575), giving them a 1.2% edge over the market's 45.13% away probability.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Rangers are the clear favorites with a 45.1% win probability and a higher Elo rating (1601 vs 1575), while Hearts' recent 7-1 loss shows defensive vulnerability.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Rangers have a higher model probability of winning at 0.4382 compared to Heart Of Midlothian's 0.3086.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Away | Yes | Over | 55% |
“The model and market strongly agree on Over 2.5 goals, giving it a 58.8% and 59.3% chance respectively.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Model gives Rangers (away) 43.82% vs Hearts 30.86% and draw 25.32%, while BTTS is 57.61% and Over 2.5 is 58.78%.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Away | Yes | Over | 42% |
“Model gives Rangers 43.8% win prob and X2 69.2%; Rangers' superior form (5W1D) and elo 1601 vs 1575 support away lean.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Away | Yes | Under | 52% |
“Rangers have a small model edge of -0.0131 (market 45.13% vs model 43.82%) but the draw edge is near zero at 0.0007, making X2 (draw or away win) the safest value at 69.2% model probability.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The model's probability for an away win is 0.4382, higher than home win (0.3086) and draw (0.2532); both teams have strong attack ratings (Rangers: 1.41, Heart Of Midlothian: 1.338), suggesting a likely 'Y' for BTTS, and the OU25 model probability for 'O' is 0.5878.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Rangers have a higher model probability (0.4382) and better form (5 wins in 6), while Hearts' recent 1-7 loss highlights defensive frailty (defence rating 0.948).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 68% |
“Our model gives Hearts a 30.86% chance to win, higher than the market's 29.62%, showing a slight edge (0.0124).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.