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Scotland · Championship · Tue 27 Oct · 19:45
3rd · 23 pts · +1 GD
0:1
Full time
2nd · 24 pts · +8 GD
27%
Stenhousemuir
27%
Draw
46%
Dunfermline
Bookmakers say
20% / 25% / 55%
Where we differ most
H +7%
Safest read
Draw or away win (X2) · we say 73%
Our safest read is Draw or away win (X2) at 73%; the bookmakers say 80%. The value angle is Home win or draw (1X): we say 55% against the market's 45%.
Both teams to score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Consensus
1X2
Home 83%
BTTS
Yes 82%
O/U 2.5
Over 58%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | Yes | Under | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Under | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stenhousemuir | 1485 | - | - |
| Dunfermline | 1461 | - | - |
Stenhousemuir rated 24 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProStenhousemuir 0-1 Dunfermline. Our model leaned Dunfermline to win (46%) and called it right.
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Home |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 62% |
“Stenhousemuir's model probability of 46.55% for home win is supported by their superior table position (2nd, 23pts vs 5th, 18pts) and stronger Elo rating (1481.1 vs 1467.4).” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 55% |
“Home win probability is highest at 46.6%, and Stenhousemuir is 2nd in the table with 23 points versus Dunfermline's 5th with 18.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 55% |
“The model predicts a home win with a 46.55% probability, which is the highest probability among the 1X2 outcomes.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | Yes | Over | 25% |
“The model gives Stenhousemuir a 46.55% chance to win, making them the slight favorites.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Model favours the home win (Stenhousemuir 46.6% vs Dunfermline 28.2%) and gives Double Chance 12 a 74.8% probability; that provides the clearest edge.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | Yes | Over | 42% |
“Model gives home 0.4655 and 1X 0.7177, backed by Stenhousemuir's higher elo (1481 vs 1467) and 2nd place vs 5th.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | Yes | Under | 52% |
“Stenhousemuir have home advantage with 46.55% win probability and sit 2nd in the table (23 pts) vs Dunfermline's 5th (18 pts).” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 60% |
“The model gives home win probability as 0.4655, slightly favouring Stenhousemuir, and both teams to score at 0.5383; home team is higher in the table and has a slightly higher ELO rating.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | No | Under | 65% |
“Home team Stenhousemuir has higher model probability (0.4655) and better league position (2nd vs 5th).” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | No | Under | 52% |
“The model gives Stenhousemuir (H) a 46.55% chance of winning, slightly ahead of Dunfermline's 28.23%, supported by better table position (2nd vs 5th) and recent home wins.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.