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Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · Sat 31 Oct · 15:00
13th · 9 pts · -7 GD
1:0
Full time
6th · 15 pts · +4 GD
26%
KV Mechelen
25%
Draw
49%
Genk
Bookmakers say
25% / 25% / 50%
Where we differ most
H 1%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 75%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 75%; the bookmakers say 75%. The value angle is A:0.5 at 1.86: we say 67%.
Both teams to score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Consensus
1X2
Away 100%
BTTS
Yes 100%
O/U 2.5
Over 92%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | Away | Yes | Over | - |
| oddsBookmakers | Away | - | Over | - |
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen | 1449 | 2.47 | 2.39 |
| Genk | 1476 | 1.04 | 1.32 |
Genk rated 27 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with ProKV Mechelen 1-0 Genk. Our model leaned Genk to win (49%) and got this one wrong. Picks: A:0.5 lost (-10.0u), Home or away won (+0.0u), O lost (0.0u), H:0.5 won (+8.5u).
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
| Away |
| Yes |
| Over |
| 58% |
“Genk is significantly stronger (Elo 1483.7 vs Mechelen's 1358.4) and in better form (2 wins in last 3 vs Mechelen's 1 win in 6), giving them a 49.2% win probability with a +0.77% edge over market odds.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Away | Yes | Over | 58% |
“Genk is the clear favorite with a 49.2% win probability and superior Elo rating (1483.7 vs 1358.4), while BTTS-Yes (57.1%) and Over 2.5 (57.6%) are both model-supported.” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Genk has a significantly higher model probability of winning at 49.19% compared to KV Mechelen's 25.94%.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Away | Yes | Over | 72% |
“Genk is the strong favorite, reflected in their superior ELO rating (1483 vs 1358) and the model's 49.19% probability for an away win.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Away | Yes | Over | 72% |
“Model gives Genk 0.4919, Mechelen 0.2594 and draw 0.2486, and DC '12' has model probability 0.7515 so away or home win is strongly favoured; BTTS 0.5712 and O2.5 0.5756 also support goals.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Away | Yes | Over | 52% |
“Genk lead model 1X2 at 0.4919 with superior Elo 1483.7 vs 1358.4 and table 6th/15pts vs 15th/6pts, so X2 at 0.7407 is the standout.” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Away | Yes | Under | 62% |
“Genk has 75.1% model probability for double chance 12 (win or draw) vs 74.1% market, giving slight value.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Away | Yes | Over | 70% |
“The model predicts 57.56% chance of over 2.5 goals, and Genk has a strong attack rating (1.056 DC, 1.052 Poisson), while KV Mechelen has a weak defence rating (1.519 DC, 1.45 Poisson), citing probs.OU25.model.O and ratings.dc.attack/defence.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Away | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Genk's model probability (0.4919) and higher Elo (1483.7) vs Mechelen's (1358.4) justify A.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Away | Yes | Over | 68% |
“The model gives Genk a 49.19% chance to win with a positive edge of 0.0067 in 1X2, and the DC '12' has the highest probability at 75.15%.” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.